基础设施复杂区域系统间事故分类

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES
V. Lesnykh, T. B. Timofeeva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市化导致了基础设施复杂地区(ict)的建立。这些地区的关键基础设施之间的相互作用日益增加,加上自然灾害的频率和规模增加,导致系统间事故激增。aias的特点是级联过程和对区域社会经济发展的灾难性后果,因为它们既影响关键的基础设施又影响环境。本文旨在对基础设施复杂地区的系统间事故进行分类,并评估这些地区对外部影响的适应能力。对现有的国内外系统间事故统计数据的审查表明了这个问题的重要性,并使我们能够确定安全监督机构的共同特征。研究分析了区域分类的各种方法及其对外部影响的适应能力,表明现有的分类大多没有考虑基础设施复杂的区域和系统间事故的可能性。本文通过对统计数据的分析和对级联故障和突发事件的模拟,提出了一种基础设施复杂区域系统间事故分类的新方法。使用了经济和社会后果的规模、事故地点、应急过程发展的结构和其他分类特征。拟议的分类将有助于模拟紧急情况,制定评估基础设施复杂地区对外部影响的后果和抵抗力的方法,并随后提高区域发展的适应能力和经济效率。进一步的研究将旨在预测国际安全机构的发展,并根据拟议的分类评估所造成的损害。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Classification of Intersystem Accidents in Infrastructure-Complex Territories
Urbanisation led to the establishment of infrastructure-complex territories (ICTs). The growing interaction between critical infrastructures in such territories, combined with an increase in the frequency and scale of natural disasters, caused a surge in intersystem accidents (ISA). ISAs are characterised by cascading processes and catastrophic consequences for regional socio-economic development, since they affect both the critical infrastructure and environment. The paper aims to classify intersystem accidents in infrastructure-complex territories, as well as to assess the adaptive resilience of these areas to external influences. An examination of available statistics on domestic and foreign intersystem accidents demonstrated the importance of the issue and allowed us to identify common features of ISAs. The research analysed various approaches to the classification of territories and their adaptive resilience to external influences, showing that the existing classifications mostly do not consider infrastructure-complex territories and the possibility of intersystem accidents. Based on the analysis of statistical data and simulation of cascade failures and emergencies, the article proposes a new approach to the classification of intersystem accidents in infrastructure-complex territories. The scale of economic and social consequences, location of the accident, structure of the development of emergency processes, and other classification features were used. The proposed classification will help simulate emergencies, develop methods for assessing the consequences and resistance of infrastructure-complex territories to external influences, and, subsequently, increase adaptive resilience and economic efficiency of regional development. Further research will be aimed at predicting the development of ISAs and assessing the resulting damage in accordance with the proposed classification.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
20.00%
发文量
23
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