日本的商业信心与商务旅游

IF 1.3 Q3 ECONOMICS

Journal of International Commerce Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI:10.1142/s1793993321500034

Sudeshna Ghosh

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究运用非对称协整方法，探讨商业信心指数(BCI)、实际有效汇率、通货膨胀、贸易指数价值和国内生产总值(GDP)对日本入境商务旅游的非对称影响。本文采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)界检验程序来得到长期协整关系。估计的NARDL结果表明，从长期来看，脑机接口的负面不对称影响强于正面影响。最后，研究证实，从长期来看，旅游业与BCI、实际有效汇率、通货膨胀、GDP和贸易指数之间存在不对称关系。

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Business Confidence and Business Tourism in Japan

This study explored the asymmetric impact of business confidence index (BCI), real effective exchange rate, inflation, the value of trade index and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on inbound business tourism in Japan using the methodology of asymmetric cointegration. The paper uses the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) bounds test procedure to obtain the long-run cointegrating relationship. The estimated NARDL results show that in the long-run, the negative asymmetric impact of the BCI is stronger than the positive impact. Finally, the study confirms that for the long-run, asymmetric relation exists between tourism, BCI, real effective exchange rate, inflation, GDP and value of trade index.

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来源期刊

Journal of International Commerce Economics and Policy ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

1.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP) is a peer-reviewed journal that seeks to publish high-quality research papers that explore important dimensions of the global economic system (including trade, finance, investment and labor flows). JICEP is particularly interested in potentially influential research that is analytical or empirical but with heavy emphasis on international dimensions of economics, business and related public policy. Papers must aim to be thought-provoking and combine rigor with readability so as to be of interest to both researchers as well as policymakers. JICEP is not region-specific and especially welcomes research exploring the growing economic interdependence between countries and regions.