除了相互伤害的僵局之外:为什么土耳其的和平进程(2009-2015)失败了?

IF 1.2 3区社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES

Turkish Studies Pub Date : 2022-06-19 DOI:10.1080/14683849.2022.2085094

Musa Akgül, Çiğdem Görgün Akgül

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究运用成熟度理论中的互伤僵局(MHS)和互诱机会(MEO)表述，考察土耳其政府与库尔德工人党之间的和平进程。它质疑，尽管土耳其解决问题的条件已经成熟，但为什么谈判失败了。这项研究表明，尽管在谈判过程将各方引向谈判桌前之前，时机已经成熟，但由于国内和国际形势的发展，他们对谈判桌前的看法最终发生了变化。因此，在这个过程开始时抓住的MHS并没有变成导致解决的MEO。

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Beyond mutually hurting stalemate: why did the peace process in Turkey (2009–2015) fail?

ABSTRACT This study investigates the peace process between the Turkish government and the PKK, invoking the mutually hurting stalemate (MHS) and mutually enticing opportunity (MEO) formulations of Ripeness Theory. It questions why the negotiations failed although Turkey’s conditions had become ripe for resolution. This research shows that even though the ripe moment occurred before the process steered the parties toward the negotiation table, their perspectives regarding the table ultimately changed due to both domestic and international developments. Hence, the MHS seized at the beginning of the process did not turn into the MEO that would lead to resolution.

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来源期刊

Turkish Studies AREA STUDIES-

CiteScore

2.80

自引率

7.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Turkey is a country whose importance is rapidly growing in international affairs. A rapidly developing democratic state with a strong economy, complex society, active party system, and powerful armed forces, Turkey is playing an increasingly critical role in Europe, the Middle East, and the Caucasus. Given Turkey"s significance and the great interest in studying its history, politics, and foreign policy, Turkish Studies presents a forum for scholarly discussion on these topics and more.