A composite energy resilience performance indicator for Bangladesh

ABSTRACT A “Composite Energy Resilience Index (CERI)” was developed with 15 individual indicators. A two-round Delphi technique was used to interview stakeholders to extract key energy resilience issues of Bangladesh based on a conceptual framework from the literature review. A total of 15 indicators were selected from the findings of the Delphi technique and using these indicators, the energy resilience framework for the country was developed. Constructed CERI implies that energy resilience of Bangladesh is critically dependent on a set of affordability, sustainability, and availability issues as well as the qualitative aspects of the energy system management, such as institutional effectiveness, governance, and regulatory quality. It implies important policy implications in terms of developing holistic energy strategies for supporting the economic development aspiration of the country. The findings also suggest that the energy resilience performance under the planned scenario based on the long-term government plans and the business-as-usual scenario is likely to improve the resilience performance by 2030. However, the required improvement might be ambitious considering the low base level and the prevailing geopolitical situation. As such, a systematic approach to energy system resilience is warranted.