农业退化与贫困事件的相互作用

Elgilany A. Ahmed, Jamalludin Sulaiman, Saidatulakmal Mohd
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在苏丹,农业被认为是主要的经济部门,通常占国内生产总值的40%以上,但在2007年其国内生产总值份额下降到33%。苏丹北部是最重要的农业区之一,其特点是降雨量少且不稳定,可耕地有限。这个地区的农业为大约70%的人口提供了就业机会。更引人注目的是农业对该国出口的贡献的恶化,从1996-1998年期间的平均74%下降到2007年的3%左右。此外,今天苏丹农村人口的很大一部分(83%)生活在非常脆弱的生计和退化的环境中。这种情况通过更频繁的减产严重影响了农业生产力。本研究旨在评估农业生产能力下降对农村贫困事件的影响。在追踪农业产量和收益的差异时,根据收集到的数据进行了详细的计算,以估计苏丹北部农业活动的人均农村收入。结果表明,低产量和产量波动的潜在影响,特别是在传统农业系统中,极大地导致了苏丹北部的贫困事件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Interplay of Agriculture Deterioration and Poverty Incident
In Sudan agriculture is considered to be the leading economic sector forming typically over 40% of the GDP has lost much ground with a drop of its GDP share to 33% in 2007. Northern Sudan as one of the most important agricultural region is characterized by low and erratic rainfall and limited arable land. Agriculture in this district provides an employment for about 70% of population. More dramatic is the deterioration in the contribution of agriculture to the country's exports, declining to about 3% in 2007 down from an average of 74% in the period 1996-1998. Further, a large portion (83%) of Sudan's rural people today lives in highly vulnerable livelihood and degraded environments. This situation affected agri- cultural productivity severely through greater frequency of yield-diminishing. This study aims to assess the crop productivity deterioration to the poverty incident in rural area. In tracing differences in agricultural yield and returns, detailed calculations from the collected data were made to estimate the per capita rural income from agricultural activities in northern Sudan. The results suggest that the potential impacts of low yield and yield volatility especially in the conventional farming system extremely causes poverty incident in northern Sudan.
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