乌克兰和世界油菜籽生产现状和前景评估

O. Zabarnyi, O. Demyanyuk
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摘要

本文分析了美国农业部关于油菜籽、油和粕的主要生产者、出口商、进口商和消费者的统计数据,确定了欧盟、加拿大和中国是世界油菜籽生产的领导者。根据预测,2013 /24年度几乎一半的进口种子将来自欧盟(510万吨)和中国(300万吨)。加拿大是世界上最大的油菜籽和油菜籽产品出口国,据预测,大约860万吨油菜籽将出售给其他国家,包括欧盟和中国。加拿大多年来一直是最大的油菜籽出口国。据分析人士预测,860万吨种子(占世界出口总量的48.6%)将被出售给其他国家。加拿大将出口310万吨石油和525万吨油菜籽粕。在2013 /24年度,预计欧盟国家将使用2540万吨油菜籽及其产品用于国内消费,而中国将使用1840万吨。根据乌克兰国家统计局的数据,2013年收获了95万公顷的冬季油菜籽,总收获量为228万吨,平均产量为240吨/公顷。2022年,冬油菜籽总产量为325万吨。同时,收获面积达到113万公顷,全国平均单产提高到2.87吨/公顷。因此,在过去10年中,乌克兰的播种面积增加了19%,种子总产量增加了42.4%。播种面积、种子总收获量和平均产量的增加是由于冬油菜种植技术某些要素的改进以及新品种和杂交品种的引进。适合在乌克兰销售的植物品种国家登记册包括350个冬油菜品种和杂交品种。近10年来,共有306个冬油菜品种和杂交品种被登记,占总数的87.4%。同时,登记了乌克兰育种冬油菜20个品种和6个杂交种,登记了国外育种冬油菜16个品种和264个杂交种。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of the state and prospects of rapeseed production in Ukraine and in the world
The article analyses the statistical data of the United States Department of Agriculture on the main producers, exporters, importers and consumers of rapeseed, oil and meal and establishes that the EU, Canada and China are the leaders in terms of rapeseed production in the world. According to the forecasts, in 23/24 MY almost half of all imported seeds will be from the EU (5.1 mln tonnes) and China (3.0 mln tonnes). Canada is the world’s largest exporter of rapeseed and rapeseed products, and it is forecast that about 8.6 mln tonnes of the seeds will be sold to other countries, including the EU and China. Canada has been the largest exporter of rapeseed for many years. According to analysts’ forecasts, 8.6 mln tonnes of seeds, which is 48.6% of the total world exports, will be sold to other countries. Canada will export 3.1 mln tonnes of oil and 5.25 mln tonnes of rapeseed meal. In 23/24 MY, the EU countries are forecast to use 25.4 mln tonnes of rapeseed and its products for domestic consumption, while China — 18.4 mln tonnes. According to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, in 2013, 0.95 mln ha of winter rapeseed were harvested, the gross harvest amounted to 2.28 mln tonnes, and the average yield was 2.40 t/ha. In 2022, the gross harvest of winter rapeseed was 3.25 million tonnes. At the same time, the harvested area was 1.13 mln ha, and the average yield in the country increased to 2.87 t/ha. Thus, over the past 10 years, the sown area in Ukraine has increased by 19%, and the gross seed harvest by 42.4%. The increase in sown areas, gross seed harvest and average yields was driven by improvements in certain elements of winter rape growing technology and the introduction of new varieties and hybrids. The State Register of Plant Varieties Suitable for Distribution in Ukraine includes 350 varieties and hybrids of winter rape. Over the past 10 years, 306 varieties and hybrids of winter rape have been included in the Register, which is 87.4% of the total. At the same time, 20 varieties and 6 hybrids of winter rape of Ukrainian breeding and 16 varieties and 264 hybrids of foreign breeding were registered.
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