俄罗斯与中东欧国家机械工程产品贸易的实际特点

A. Golubkin, O. Malyutina, F. M. Chernetskii
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引用次数: 1

摘要

的目标。确定2020-2022年俄罗斯与中东欧国家工程产品贸易过程中的主要特点和趋势。分析俄罗斯与中东欧国家在受制裁的机械工程(包括电子和电气工程)领域的贸易关系动态;确定俄罗斯与中东欧国家之间机械工程部门贸易结构中的主要商品类别;确定西方制裁对俄罗斯与中东欧国家之间机械工程产品贸易的影响。作者采用了统计分析、观察、概括、描述、图形建模等研究方法。分析结果表明,中东欧国家的机械制造产品出口占比高于相应的俄罗斯对该地区的出口。制裁条件决定了俄罗斯与中东欧国家之间工程产品贸易的长期不利趋势。本文分析的贸易和经济指标表明,俄罗斯与中东欧国家在机械制造领域的贸易互动量有所下降,特别是该地区各国对俄罗斯的出口急剧下降。在制裁条件下,双方都会蒙受经济损失,其中中东欧国家蒙受的损失更大。通过冻结与俄罗斯的贸易关系,中东欧国家失去了现有的利益,并在俄罗斯市场占据了一席之地。此外,该地区的国家很难为工程产品找到新的市场,也很难弥补因拒绝向俄罗斯出口而造成的损失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Actual features of trade in mechanical engineering products between Russia and the countries of the Central-Eastern Europe
Aim. To identify key features and trends in the process of trade in engineering products between Russia and Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries in 2020-2022.Tasks. To analyze the dynamics of Russia’s trade relations with CEE countries in the field of mechanical engineering (including electronics and electrical engineering) under sanctions; identify the main commodity groups in the structure of the mechanical engineering sector in trade between Russia and CEE countries; identify the impact of Western sanctions on trade in mechanical engineering products between Russia and CEE countries.Methods. The authors used such research methods as statistical analysis, observation, generalization, description and graphic modeling.Results. The results obtained in the analysis indicate that the export of machine-building products of CEE states prevails over the corresponding Russian exports to this region. The sanctions conditions have determined an unfavorable long-term trend in the trade of engineering products between Russia and CEE countries.Conclusions. The trade and economic indicators analyzed in this article have demonstrated a decline in the volume of trade interaction between Russia and the CEE countries in the machine-building sphere, especially the sharp decline in exports of the states of the region to Russia. Under the conditions of sanctions, both sides incur economic losses, which are higher for the CEE states. By freezing trade relations with Russia, the CEE countries are deprived of existing benefits and an occupied niche in the Russian market. Moreover, it will be difficult for the states of this region to find new markets for engineering products and to compensate for the losses due to the refusal of exports to Russia.
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