男女队沙滩排球优胜关键决定因素分析

Q4 Health Professions
Yi-Kun Peng, Shih-Chung Cheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:探讨男女优队伍沙滩排球获胜的关键决定因素。方法:利用Python网络爬虫收集2015~2022年世界沙滩排球世锦赛男女精英赛事的攻防记录,其中男子366场839盘,女子367场840盘。利用决策树中的分类与回归树、二元逻辑回归等方法,构建了关键决定因素制胜技能的得分有效性特征和模型。结果表明:(1)进攻点数、对手失误和破发点数是决定胜负的前3位技能;(2)得分、进攻失误和对手失误被认为是影响比赛胜利的前3大关键因素;(3)决策树结果表明,最关键的制胜技巧是破发,破发包括发球和封盖的衔接动作,以及随后的后防、定位球和反击,统称为“反击”。这意味着反击的成功率越高,胜率就越有可能提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Critical Determinant Factors for Beach Volleyball Winning in Elite Men and Women Teams
Purpose: was to explore critical determinant factors for beach volleyball winning in elite men's and women's teams. Methods: Python web crawler were implemented to collect attack & defense records of the world beach volleyball world championships for elite men & women beach volleyball games during 2015~2022, including 839 sets from 366 men's matches as well as 840 sets from 367 women's matches. By using classification and regression tree referring to decision tree, binary logistic regression, characteristics of the scoring effectiveness and model of critical determinant winning skills were built accordingly. Findings: (1) attack points, opponent errors and breakpoints were ranked the top 3 determinant skills for winning; (2) breakpoints, attack errors and opponent errors were identified as top 3 crucial factors affecting winning of the games; and (3) results of the decision tree showed that the most critical game winning skills was breakpoints which cover connecting actions of service and block as well as back defense, set and counter attack followed which were collectively called “counter attack”. It is implied that the higher successful rate of counter attacks was secured, the more likely the winning rate to be improved.
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来源期刊
Central European Journal of Sport Sciences and Medicine
Central European Journal of Sport Sciences and Medicine Business, Management and Accounting-Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
12 weeks
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