识别埃塞俄比亚儿童营养状况的预测协变量:贝叶斯广义加性建模方法

Reta Habtamu Bacha
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引用次数: 1

摘要

5岁以下儿童营养不良是发展中国家,特别是埃塞俄比亚的主要公共卫生问题。本研究旨在通过将贝叶斯方法与马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)技术应用于2011年EDHS数据,找出埃塞俄比亚儿童营养不良的决定因素。初步分析表明,埃塞俄比亚儿童体重不足的总体患病率为36.4%。应用贝叶斯广义加性回归模型灵活估计社会经济、人口、健康和环境协变量的影响。估计结果表明,继生育间隔、儿童性别、选择而非偶然、接种疫苗和咳嗽等协变量对埃塞俄比亚儿童营养状况有显著影响。儿童年龄、母亲分娩年龄、后续生育间隔、家庭成员数量和出生顺序的影响也被作为儿童营养状况的非参数决定因素进行了探讨。基于这种生物特征分析,有关的政府和非政府机构应重视重要的协变量,以改善该国儿童的营养状况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identifying prognosticators covariates of child nutritional status in ethiopia: A bayesian generalized additive modelling approach
Malnutrition among children under age five is the major public health delinquent issue in the developing world, particularly in Ethiopia. This study aimed to figure out determinants of Ethiopian children malnutrition by applying Bayesian approach with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques on the 2011 EDHS data. The preliminary analysis indicated that the overall prevalence of underweight among children in Ethiopia is found 36.4%. Bayesian generalized additive regression model applied to flexibly estimate effects of socio-economic, demographic, health and environmental covariates. The estimation result showed that covariates succeeding birth interval, gender of child, child by choice not by chance, vaccination and cough are significantly affect the children nutritional status in Ethiopia. The effect of child age, mother’s age at child birth, succeeding birth intervals, number of household member and birth order were also explored non-parametrically as determinants of children nutritional status. Based up on this biometric analysis, concerned governmental and non-governmental bodies should give emphasis on the significant covariates to improve the children nutritional status of the country.
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