城市可持续发展:评级评估方法与风险分析(以哈萨克斯坦为例)

IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
Nailya K. Nurlanova iD, . FaridaG.AlzhanovaiD, Z. Satpayeva, Н. К. Н. iD, . Ф.Г.АльжановаiD, З. Т. Сатпаева
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引用次数: 0

摘要

世界经验表明,在城市化进程加快的背景下,可持续发展目标的实现在很大程度上取决于城市的可持续性。据推测,哈萨克斯坦的大城市比中等城市和单一工业城镇更稳定。本研究旨在开发一种改进的城市可持续发展评级评估方法,并以哈萨克斯坦的城市为例进行测试,以便开发考虑到各国具体情况的规划和监测可持续发展目标实现的工具。为此,采用了概括、具体化、经济和统计、析因和比较分析、排序和制图等方法。提出了一种基于社会、经济、环境因素的城市可持续发展评价方法。采用了绘制可持续发展风险图的方法。该研究证实了可持续城市发展风险的标准和类型,可以根据具体国家情况进行调整。以哈萨克斯坦不同类型和类别的城市为例,说明了利用这种方法的可能性。由于无法获得统计数据,特别是对小城镇和单一产业城镇的研究受到限制。所得结果可用于模拟和监测哈萨克斯坦和其他国家城市社会经济方案的执行情况。研究结果可作为当局制定决策机制和工具的基础,以实现可持续发展目标和发展可持续城市。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sustainable Development of Cities: Rating Assessment Methodology and Risk Analysis (Using Kazakhstan as an Example)
World experience shows that in the context of the increase in urbanisation, the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals largely depends on the sustainability of cities. It was hypothesised that big cities in Kazakhstan are more stable than medium-sized cities and single-industry towns. The study aims to develop a modified rating assessment methodology for sustainable development of cities and test it using cities in Kazakhstan as an example in order to develop tools for planning and monitoring the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals taking into account country specifics. To this end, such methods as generalisation, concretisation, economic and statistical, factorial and comparative analysis, ranking, and mapping were used. A modified methodology for rating assessment of sustainable development of cities based on social, economic, environmental factors was proposed. The method for the mapping of sustainable development risks was utilised. The research substantiated the criteria and typology of risks of sustainable urban development, which can be adapted to country-specific circumstances. The possibility of its use was demonstrated on the example of different types and categories of cities in Kazakhstan. The study was limited due to the inaccessibility of statistical data, especially for small towns and single-industry towns. The obtained results can be used to simulate and monitor the implementation of socio-economic programmes in cities of Kazakhstan and other countries. The research findings can be used as the basis for mechanisms and tools intended to make decisions by authorities to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals and develop sustainable cities.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
4.50%
发文量
40
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