基于卫星高程资料的ENSO和IOD对阿拉伯湾和阿拉伯海MSL的影响

Atyaf Mohammed Abdul Mutalib, Sabah M. M. Ameen, A. Mahmood
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当前研究的主要目的是利用卫星测高数据确定近年来由于全球变暖加剧而增加的厄尔尼诺南方涛动(ENSO)和印度洋偶极子(IOD)影响下的平均海平面(MSL)的线性趋势。采用了统计时间序列技术。采用标准的普通单变量和双变量线性回归方法以及Pearson相关。在平均海平面上检测到IOD正相位的线性趋势,而在阿拉伯湾没有检测到ENSO的线性趋势。另一方面,1993-2013年阿拉伯海平均海平面的IOD和ENSO负相呈线性趋势。对气候研究来说,最重要的是提供未来几年海平面上升的准确预测,并在灾害发生之前计划减轻灾害的活动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impacts of ENSO and IOD on the MSL of The Arabian Gulf and The Arabian Sea by Using Satellite Altimetry Data
The main objective for the current research is to determine the linear trends of the mean sea level (MSL) resulting from the influence of the Southern Oscillation of El Nino (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD), which have increased in recent times due to increased global warming using satellite altimetry of MSL data. Statistical time series technique has been used. The standard ordinary univariate and bivariate linear regression method as well as Pearson correlation were used.  Linear trends for the positive phase of IOD were detected on mean sea level while no linear trends of ENSO were detected in the Arabian Gulf. On the other side, linear trends of the negative phases of IOD and ENSO were detected on mean sea level in the Arabian Sea over the period 1993-2013. It is most important for climate research to provide accurate predictions of sea level rise in the coming years and plan the activities to lessen the disasters before they happen.
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