Henny Hamsinar, Fithriah Musadat, Hasmiati Ibrahim
{"title":"MODEL SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PESERTA DIDIK BARU DI SMPN 1 BATAUGA","authors":"Henny Hamsinar, Fithriah Musadat, Hasmiati Ibrahim","doi":"10.55340/jiu.v11i2.995","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Acceptance of new students, known as Penerimaan Peserta Didik Baru (PPDB), is an annual education unit agenda. Predicting the number of new students is needed in school management planning activities. This study aims to predict the number of new students at SMPN 1 Batauga in 2022. The data used is data from the last 5 years. 2017 to 2021. The Single Exponential Smoothing method is used to make predictions using parameters α=0.1 to α=0.9. From the prediction results, it is obtained that the alpha value has the smallest error value, namely alpha=0.9 and MAPE of 20%. So that the number of students at SMPN 1 Batauga in 2022 is 114 people.","PeriodicalId":32029,"journal":{"name":"Proxies Jurnal Informatika","volume":"6 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proxies Jurnal Informatika","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.55340/jiu.v11i2.995","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
接受新生,被称为Penerimaan Peserta Didik Baru (PPDB),是教育单位的年度议程。在学校管理规划活动中,需要对新生人数进行预测。本研究旨在预测2022年SMPN 1 Batauga的新生人数。使用的数据是最近5年的数据。2017年到2021年。单指数平滑法使用参数α=0.1至α=0.9进行预测。由预测结果可知,alpha值误差值最小,即alpha=0.9, MAPE为20%。因此,2022年SMPN 1 Batauga的学生人数为114人。
MODEL SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PESERTA DIDIK BARU DI SMPN 1 BATAUGA
Acceptance of new students, known as Penerimaan Peserta Didik Baru (PPDB), is an annual education unit agenda. Predicting the number of new students is needed in school management planning activities. This study aims to predict the number of new students at SMPN 1 Batauga in 2022. The data used is data from the last 5 years. 2017 to 2021. The Single Exponential Smoothing method is used to make predictions using parameters α=0.1 to α=0.9. From the prediction results, it is obtained that the alpha value has the smallest error value, namely alpha=0.9 and MAPE of 20%. So that the number of students at SMPN 1 Batauga in 2022 is 114 people.