月间暴力犯罪热点的时间稳定性与时间单位可变问题

IF 1.8 2区社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY

Crime & Delinquency Pub Date : 2022-10-22 DOI:10.1177/00111287221128483

Mica Deckard, Cory Schnell

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引用次数: 1

摘要

微观场所犯罪模式的集中度和稳定性研究主要以年为时间观察单位。本研究检视不同月份间的时间模式，以探讨可修改时间单位问题(MTUP)的影响。在为期60个月的观察期中，我们分析了向圣路易斯大都会警察局报告的26,555起暴力犯罪事件，并对这些事件进行了地理编码，划分为14,106个街道段。有犯罪的街道段在少数几个月内经历了这些事件，并且在几个月之间的热点地点有很大的变化。只有一小部分街道在几个月之间经历了季节性模式，大多数地点在犯罪发生的几个月里完全不稳定或不可预测。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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The Temporal (In)Stability of Violent Crime Hot Spots Between Months and The Modifiable Temporal Unit Problem

Research on the concentration and stability of crime patterns at micro-places primarily examines years as the temporal unit of observation. This study examines temporal patterns between months to explore the impact of the modifiable temporal unit problem (MTUP). We analyzed 26,555 violent crime incidents reported to the St. Louis Metropolitan Police Department from a 60-month observation period and geocoded these incidents to 14,106 street segments. Street segments with crime experienced these incidents across a small number of months and there is much variability in which locations are hot spots between months. Only a small number of street segments experienced a seasonal pattern between months with most locations having complete instability or unpredictability in the months when crime does occur.

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来源期刊

Crime & Delinquency CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-

CiteScore

4.30

自引率

9.50%

发文量

155

期刊介绍： Crime & Delinquency is a peer reviewed, policy-oriented journal for the scholar and professional with an interest in the field of criminology and criminal justice. The journal was developed to focus on a wide variety of issues and concerns that impact the criminal justice system.