大流行期间劳动活动的特点及其对乌克兰经济的影响

N. Serohina, N. Petryshchenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2019冠状病毒病大流行极大地改变了全球劳动力市场的运作方式。疫情期间的劳动活动日益向数字化和电子化生活方式领域转移。这一趋势使人们的生活质量以及制造商和销售商的经济活动发生了重大变化。这表明需要更详细地研究劳动力市场的发展趋势和劳动力资源就业方面的潜在变化。强调了在大流行期间影响国家经济状况的一些主要结构性因素。在分析中,这包括就业水平和劳动力资源状况的变化,以及该国企业的收入和损失,以及GDP动态。这种选择是因为劳动力资源是企业的生产力,它影响着企业活动的效率和盈利能力。在现有的条件下,寻找机会来改善目前的劳动组织秩序变得至关重要。本文的目的是确定乌克兰经济发展的主要趋势,同时考虑到大流行的负面影响,确定该国劳动力资源构成的动态,并提出减少封锁和生产中断的负面后果的可能方法。还考虑了决定国家社会经济发展的生产领域的盈利能力因素。根据这一因素,在社会经济发展水平上形成了不均衡。根据国家统计数据,运用实证和数理研究的方法,对主要指标的动态进行了分析。根据获得的企业2020年工作领域和财务绩效数据,对其无利可图进行了经济诊断。横向和纵向分析的方法显示,该国的就业人口减少,失业率上升,国内生产总值下降。通过计算乌克兰企业的收入和损失的动态和结构,可以确定最无利可图的经济部门。在大多数情况下,考虑到某些条件,工作组织的变化会导致企业活动的适应。通过远程方式将部分劳动力转移到工作岗位,可以不停止生产,并通过引入隔离(封锁)来支持国家经济。与解雇工人的前景相比,这是一个适当的选择,因为解雇工人不仅会影响人口的财政安全,而且还会影响生产领域的盈利能力。在大流行期间,填补预算是极其重要的。这将使资金能够支持大多数人的创业、疫苗接种和社会保障。数字化和远程工作是一个有前途的领域,将在未来的工作组织中占据重要地位。国家的主要任务应该是为人民的社会保护以及国家对企业的支持制定算法和标准。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Features of labor activity during a pandemic and its impact on the economy in Ukraine
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly altered the way the global labor market works. Labor activity during the pandemic is increasingly moving into the field of digitalization and electronic lifestyles. This trend has led to significant changes in the quality of the population’s life, as well as in the economic activities of manufacturers and sellers. This demonstrates the need for a more detailed study of trends in the development of the labor market and potential changes in the employment of labor resources. Some of the main structural components affecting the state of the country’s economy in a pandemic are highlighted. For the analysis, this includes the level of employment and the change in the profile of labor resources, as well as the income and losses of the country’s enterprises, and the GDP dynamics. This choice is due to the fact that labor resources are the productive force of the enterprise, which affects the efficiency of activities and profitability. In the existing conditions, the search for opportunities to improve the current order of labor organization is becoming relevant. The purpose of the article is to determine the main trends in the development of the Ukrainian economy, taking into account the negative impact of the pandemic, to identify the dynamics in the composition of the country’s labor resources, and to propose possible ways to reduce the negative consequences of lockdowns and production interruptions. The factor of profitability of the production spheres, which determines the socio-economic development of the state, is also considered. Depending on this factor, disproportions are formed at the levels of socio-economic development. Based on the data of state statistics and using the methods of empirical and mathematical research, the analysis of the dynamics of the main indicators has been carried out. Based on the data obtained on the sphere of work and financial performance of enterprises for 2020, an economic diagnostics of their unprofitableness was carried out. The method of horizontal and vertical analysis revealed a decrease in the employed population of the country, an increase in the unemployment rate, and a decrease in GDP. Calculations of the dynamics and structure of incomes and losses of Ukrainian enterprises made it possible to identify the most unprofitable sectors of the economy. In most cases, a change in the organization of work leads to the adaptation of the activities of the enterprise, taking into account certain conditions. The transfer of part of the workforce to work using remote methods allows not to stop production and support the country’s economy with the introduction of quarantine (lockdown). This serves as an adequate alternative compared to the prospect of dismissal of workers, which will affect not only the financial security of the population, but also the profitability of production spheres. In a pandemic, filling the budget is extremely important. This will allow funding to support entrepreneurship, vaccinations and social security for most of the population. Digitalization and remote work are a promising area that will take a significant place in the organization of work in the future. The main task of the state should be to create algorithms and standards for the social protection of people, as well as state support of enterprises.
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