{"title":"条件分布鲁棒泛函","authors":"A. Shapiro, A. Pichler","doi":"10.1287/opre.2023.2470","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper addresses decision making in multiple stages, where prior information is available and where consecutive and successive decisions are made. Risk measures assess the random outcome by taking various candidate probability measures into account. To justify decisions in multiple stages, it is essential to have conditional risk measures available, which respect the information, which was already revealed in the past. The paper addresses different variants of risk measures, discusses their properties in the specific context and their implications in multistage decision making. Various examples of risk measures on simple probability spaces with finite support illustrate the content. The Wasserstein and nested distance are involved to make decision making with numerous scenarios numerically tractalbe.","PeriodicalId":49809,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"224 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Conditional Distributionally Robust Functionals\",\"authors\":\"A. Shapiro, A. Pichler\",\"doi\":\"10.1287/opre.2023.2470\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper addresses decision making in multiple stages, where prior information is available and where consecutive and successive decisions are made. Risk measures assess the random outcome by taking various candidate probability measures into account. To justify decisions in multiple stages, it is essential to have conditional risk measures available, which respect the information, which was already revealed in the past. The paper addresses different variants of risk measures, discusses their properties in the specific context and their implications in multistage decision making. Various examples of risk measures on simple probability spaces with finite support illustrate the content. The Wasserstein and nested distance are involved to make decision making with numerous scenarios numerically tractalbe.\",\"PeriodicalId\":49809,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Military Operations Research\",\"volume\":\"224 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Military Operations Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2023.2470\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Engineering\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Military Operations Research","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2023.2470","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Engineering","Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper addresses decision making in multiple stages, where prior information is available and where consecutive and successive decisions are made. Risk measures assess the random outcome by taking various candidate probability measures into account. To justify decisions in multiple stages, it is essential to have conditional risk measures available, which respect the information, which was already revealed in the past. The paper addresses different variants of risk measures, discusses their properties in the specific context and their implications in multistage decision making. Various examples of risk measures on simple probability spaces with finite support illustrate the content. The Wasserstein and nested distance are involved to make decision making with numerous scenarios numerically tractalbe.
期刊介绍:
Military Operations Research is a peer-reviewed journal of high academic quality. The Journal publishes articles that describe operations research (OR) methodologies and theories used in key military and national security applications. Of particular interest are papers that present: Case studies showing innovative OR applications Apply OR to major policy issues Introduce interesting new problems areas Highlight education issues Document the history of military and national security OR.