2019冠状病毒病大流行如何影响博尔萨伊斯坦布尔的旅游指数?

Ercan Özen, Letife Özdemir
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在调查Covid-19大流行对土耳其旅游业的影响。在这项研究中,在2020年3月12日至2020年8月31日期间,使用了BIST旅游股票指数的每日数据以及土耳其的Covid-19病例和死亡人数。采用ARDL结合检验研究新冠肺炎大流行与北京科技大学旅游指数之间的协整关系。此外,采用FMOLS回归方法检验新冠肺炎疫情对北京科技大学旅游指数的影响。ARDL结合检验结果表明,Covid-19病例与死亡人数与BIST旅游指数之间存在长期协整关系。根据FMOLS回归模型结果,新冠肺炎死亡人数显著影响旅游指数。死亡人数每增加1%,BIST旅游指数就会下降0.08%。新增病例数的系数不显著,说明新增病例数对旅游指数影响不充分。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
HOW DID COVID-19 PANDEMIC AFFECT THE TOURISM INDEX IN BORSA ISTANBUL?
This study aims to investigate the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on Turkey's tourism sector. In the study, for the period 12 March 2020 - 31 August 2020 the daily data of the BIST tourism stock index and Covid-19 case and death counts in Turkey were used. The cointegration relationship between the Covid-19 pandemic and the BIST tourism index was investigated with the ARDL bound test. In addition, the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on the BIST tourism index was tested with the FMOLS regression method. As a result of the ARDL bound test, it was determined that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the Covid-19 case and death numbers and the BIST tourism index. According to the FMOLS regression model results, it is seen that the deaths of Covid 19 significantly affect the tourism index. A 1% increase in the number of deaths causes the BIST tourism index to decrease by 0.08%. The coefficient of the number of Covid-19 cases is not significant, showing that the number of cases does not have a sufficient effect on the tourism index.
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