鹿群质量折现值作为鹿群管理决策的标准

S. P. Wills, D. Guynn, T. Straka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

贴现现金流量分析是一种标准的金融工具,它考虑货币的时间价值并计算未来一笔货币的现值。利用相同的概念,建立了基于不同性别、年龄的白尾鹿(Odocoileus virginianus)群体的价值和存活率的鹿品质折扣值模型。使用市场利率作为贴现率和时间价值的度量,对这些价值进行贴现。利用该模型确定商业狩猎中鹿茸的最佳采收年龄。基于贴现率、年龄和品质价值以及成活率,最佳采收年龄为1.5 ~ 5.5年。存活率是确定最佳采收年龄的基础。该模型还用于检验旨在提高或改善牛群状况的管理措施的可行性。假设贴现率为10%,雄鹿的增长值在1.5 ~ 5.5年之间,当s≥80%时,最佳采收年龄为5.5年,当s < 60%时,最佳采收年龄为1.5年。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Discounted Deer Quality Value as a Criterion for Deer Management Decisions
Discounted cash flow analysis is a standard financial tool that considers the time value of money and calculates the present value of a future sum of money. A model was developed using the same concept to estimate discounted deer quality value of a white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) herd based on the value and survival rate(s) by sex, age. These values are discounted, using market interest rate as the discount rate and as the measure of the time value. The model was used to determine the optimum age for harvest of antlered bucks in commercial hunting operations. Based on discount rate, value by age and quality, and survival rates, optimum harvest age varied from 1.5 years to 5.5 years. Survival rate (s) was fundamental in determination of optimal harvest ages. The model was also used to examine the feasibility of management practices aimed at increasing or improving herd condition. Assuming a discount rate of 10% and increasing values for bucks ranging from 1.5 to 5.5 years of age, the optimum harvest ages produced ranged from 5.5 years when s ≥ 80% and 1.5 years when s < 60%.
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