电视名人的政治溢价

IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Heyu Xiong
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文通过罗纳德·里根的职业生涯来研究电视明星对选举的影响。我利用电视接收的准实验变异来估计名人曝光对政治支持的因果效应。我发现,里根担任上世纪50年代一档娱乐电视节目主持人的经历,在该节目首次播出近20年后,在选票和政治捐款方面,转化成了对他候选人资格的支持。安慰剂检验表明,这种影响不是由未观察到的异质性或遗漏的变量偏倚驱动的。这种影响在1976年的共和党初选中表现得尤为明显,而在里根作为一个知名政治实体的地方,这种影响在一定程度上消失了。利用美国全国选举研究(ANES)调查,我提供了可能机制的证据。与理性更新相一致的是,非政治性媒体增加了选民对里根的性格和领导能力的评价,在有他参与的选举中将政治考虑个人化。(jel d72, l82, z13)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Political Premium of Television Celebrity
This paper studies the electoral consequences of television stardom through the career of Ronald Reagan. I utilize quasi-experimental variation in television reception to estimate the causal effect of celebrity exposure on political support. I find that Reagan’s tenure as the host of a 1950s entertainment television program translated into support for his candidacy, in terms of votes and political donations, nearly two decades after the show’s first airing. Placebo checks suggest that this impact is not driven by unobserved heterogeneity or omitted variable bias. The effect was especially pronounced in the 1976 Republican primary elections relative to the general presidential elections and partially dissipated in locations where Reagan was a known political entity. Using the American National Election Studies (ANES) surveys, I provide evidence on possible mechanisms. Consistent with rational updating, nonpolitical media increased voters’ assessment of Reagan’s character and leadership, personalizing political considerations in elections featuring him. (JEL D72, L82, Z13)
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.10
自引率
1.60%
发文量
63
期刊介绍: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics publishes papers covering a range of topics in applied economics, with a focus on empirical microeconomic issues. In particular, we welcome papers on labor economics, development microeconomics, health, education, demography, empirical corporate finance, empirical studies of trade, and empirical behavioral economics.
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