德别特河流域(亚美尼亚)主要气候特征的具体变化

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The average annual air temperature ranges from 3.74 ºC to 12.3 ºC, and the annual precipitation is from 462 mm to 770 mm. Studies have also shown that long-term fluctuations in average air temperature over the year are generally characterized by positive trends. Air temperature in the basin of the river Debed increased by 1.65 °С on average over the year from 1964 to 2018. A particularly significant increase in annual temperatures has been observed after the 1990s, when the rate of annual warming reached +0.389 ºС / 10 years (for the period 1993-2018). The warmest years were 1966, 2010 and 2018. The tendency towards a decrease in the annual amount of precipitation prevails in the area. The most significant amount of precipitation decreased in the basin of the river Debed after 2002. The rate of changes in the annual amount of atmospheric precipitation for the period 2002–2018 reached -61.7 mm / 10 years, and for the entire period 1964-2018 - 1.02 mm / 10 years. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

问题的表述。本文讨论了亚美尼亚德别特河流域6个气象站主要气候特征的变化。这项工作的目的是分析和评估德贝德河流域主要气候指标的特殊地域分布,以及它们在过去80-90年在亚美尼亚不同条件下的变化。为了完成既定的任务,作者在工作中采用了相应的研究和已发表的著作作为理论基础。作为起始材料,该工作使用了亚美尼亚共和国环境部SNCO“水文气象和监测中心”在1930年至2018年期间在六个气象站的日常事实数据。本文采用数理统计、外推法、分析法、类比法、相关法、制图法等研究方法。在过去的几十年里,地球的气候一直在迅速变化,导致全球变暖。因此,我们正面临评估气候变化对这一领土的宏观经济后果的问题。亚美尼亚并没有对全球气候变化问题置身事外。在德别特河流域境内,由于该地区的地理纬度、大气的总环流和局部环流、辐射能量和地形特征,气温分布和降水不均匀。我们注意到,随着地形高度和垂直梯度分别为0.54ºC / 100 m和-20 mm / 100 m,气温下降和降水增加。年平均气温在3.74℃~ 12.3℃之间,年降水量在462 mm ~ 770 mm之间。研究还表明,多年平均气温的长期波动总体上呈正趋势。1964 - 2018年,德贝特河流域气温平均上升1.65°С。在20世纪90年代之后,观测到年气温的特别显著上升,年升温速度达到+0.389ºС / 10年(1993-2018年)。最温暖的年份是1966年、2010年和2018年。这个地区的年降水量普遍呈减少的趋势。2002年以后,德贝特河流域降水减少最为显著。2002—2018年的年降水量变化率为-61.7 mm / 10年,1964—2018年的年降水量变化率为- 1.02 mm / 10年。从1964年到2001年,德贝德河流域的年平均降水量减少了126毫米,2002年到2018年减少了105毫米。斯捷潘纳万气象站的降水量有轻微增加的趋势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Specific changes in main climatic characteristics of the Debed river basin (Armenia)
Formulation of the problem. The article discusses changes in the main climatic characteristics in the Debed river basin (Armenia) at six meteorological stations. The aim of the work is to analyze and assess peculiar territorial distribution of the main climatic indicators in the Debed river basin, their changes over the past 80-90 years in different conditions of Armenia. Methods. To solve the set tasks, the authors used corresponding research and published works as a theoretical basis in the work. As a starting material, the work used the daily factual data of the "Center for Hydrometeorology and Monitoring" of the SNCO, Ministry of Environment of the Republic of Armenia for the period from 1930 to 2018 at six meteorological stations. The authors applied the following research methods in the article: mathematical and statistical, extrapolation, analysis, analogy, correlation, cartographic. Results. Climate of the earth has been changing rapidly over the past decades, leading to global warming. As a result, we are facing the problem of assessing the macroeconomic consequences of climate change in this territory. Armenia did not remain aloof from the problems of global climate change. On the territory of the river Debed's basin air temperature distribution and precipitation is uneven, due to the geographical latitude of the area, general and local circulation of the atmosphere, radiation energy and orographic features. We notice a decrease in air temperature and an increase in precipitation with the height of the terrain and the vertical gradient, respectively, is 0.54 ºC / 100 m and -20 mm / 100 m. The average annual air temperature ranges from 3.74 ºC to 12.3 ºC, and the annual precipitation is from 462 mm to 770 mm. Studies have also shown that long-term fluctuations in average air temperature over the year are generally characterized by positive trends. Air temperature in the basin of the river Debed increased by 1.65 °С on average over the year from 1964 to 2018. A particularly significant increase in annual temperatures has been observed after the 1990s, when the rate of annual warming reached +0.389 ºС / 10 years (for the period 1993-2018). The warmest years were 1966, 2010 and 2018. The tendency towards a decrease in the annual amount of precipitation prevails in the area. The most significant amount of precipitation decreased in the basin of the river Debed after 2002. The rate of changes in the annual amount of atmospheric precipitation for the period 2002–2018 reached -61.7 mm / 10 years, and for the entire period 1964-2018 - 1.02 mm / 10 years. On average a decrease in annual precipitation was 126 mm from 1964 to 2001, 105 mm - from 2002 to 2018 in the basin of the river Debed. There is a tendency for a slight increase in the amount of precipitation at the Stepanavan weather station.
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