统一和1992-93年经济衰退对西德家庭的分配影响

Economics of Transition Pub Date : 2001-07-01 DOI:10.1111/1468-0351.00086

J. Bishop, J. P. Formby, L. Zeager

{"title":"统一和1992-93年经济衰退对西德家庭的分配影响","authors":"J. Bishop, J. P. Formby, L. Zeager","doi":"10.1111/1468-0351.00086","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The 1992-93 recession in the western states of Germany has been attributed, in substantial measure, to the macroeconomic consequences of policies to finance unification. Studies of the costs of unification have not attempted to measure the burden of the recession. We estimate a dynamic, panel model of household incomes using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) and use it to forecast what these incomes would have been in 1992-94 without a recession. Using a ratio of actual to forecast incomes, we compare the relative burden of the recession across households. Our findings suggest that western households below the median income bore the brunt of the combined impact of unification and the recession of 1992-93.","PeriodicalId":47148,"journal":{"name":"Economics of Transition","volume":"9 1","pages":"515-532"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2001-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The distributional impact of unification and the 1992–93 recession on West German households\",\"authors\":\"J. Bishop, J. P. Formby, L. Zeager\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/1468-0351.00086\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The 1992-93 recession in the western states of Germany has been attributed, in substantial measure, to the macroeconomic consequences of policies to finance unification. Studies of the costs of unification have not attempted to measure the burden of the recession. We estimate a dynamic, panel model of household incomes using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) and use it to forecast what these incomes would have been in 1992-94 without a recession. Using a ratio of actual to forecast incomes, we compare the relative burden of the recession across households. Our findings suggest that western households below the median income bore the brunt of the combined impact of unification and the recession of 1992-93.\",\"PeriodicalId\":47148,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economics of Transition\",\"volume\":\"9 1\",\"pages\":\"515-532\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2001-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economics of Transition\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0351.00086\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economics of Transition","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0351.00086","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 4

摘要

1992年至1993年德国西部各州的衰退在很大程度上归因于为统一提供资金的政策的宏观经济后果。对统一成本的研究并没有试图衡量经济衰退的负担。我们使用德国社会经济小组(GSOEP)的数据估计了一个动态的家庭收入面板模型，并用它来预测1992-94年如果没有经济衰退，这些收入会是什么。我们利用实际收入与预测收入之比，比较了各家庭在经济衰退中的相对负担。我们的研究结果表明，在统一和1992-93年经济衰退的共同影响下，收入中位数以下的西方家庭首当其冲。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

The distributional impact of unification and the 1992–93 recession on West German households

The 1992-93 recession in the western states of Germany has been attributed, in substantial measure, to the macroeconomic consequences of policies to finance unification. Studies of the costs of unification have not attempted to measure the burden of the recession. We estimate a dynamic, panel model of household incomes using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) and use it to forecast what these incomes would have been in 1992-94 without a recession. Using a ratio of actual to forecast incomes, we compare the relative burden of the recession across households. Our findings suggest that western households below the median income bore the brunt of the combined impact of unification and the recession of 1992-93.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Economics of Transition ECONOMICS-

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Economics of Transition publishes high-quality, refereed articles on the economics of structural transformation, institutional development, and growth. It presents innovative theoretical work and econometric analyses of the process of economic reform and its macroeconomic effects. The journal aims to promote new thinking on how institutions and institutional change can be analyzed and measured and how their impact on aggregate economic performance can be evaluated.