海港的区域间溢出效应:以西北欧为例

IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS
Olaf M. Merk, W. Manshanden, M. Dröes
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引用次数: 14

摘要

港口对全球贸易至关重要,但人们越来越担心港口对当地经济的影响。了解港口对当地经济的影响和区域间溢出效应,对于未来的投资决策和当地对港口发展的接受程度至关重要。港口经济的学术文献通常假设港口活动的区域间溢出效应,但很少量化。本文通过量化西欧北部四个大型港口:鹿特丹、安特卫普、汉堡和勒阿弗尔的后向联系来填补这一空白。为了评估区域间经济溢出的程度和分布,我们将国家投入产出分解到功能港区的层面,并计算相关的莱昂提夫乘数。研究结果表明,列昂蒂夫乘数分布范围广,且具有不同的区域间格局。鹿特丹和安特卫普港口的总体乘数较小,但对其区域经济的影响相对较大,特别是对石油化工部门的影响。相比之下,汉堡港和勒阿弗尔港的总体乘数更高,对远离港口的地区(如巴伐利亚和法兰西岛)的影响也相对较大。讨论了这些结果的政策含义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Inter-regional spillovers of seaports: The case of North-West Europe
Ports are essential for global trade, but there are growing concerns about their impacts on the local economy. Insight in these local economic impacts of ports and inter-regional spillovers is crucial for future investment decisions and local acceptance of port development. Inter-regional spillovers from port activities are commonly assumed in the academic literature on port economics, but rarely ever quantified. This article fills this gap by quantifying the backward linkages of four large ports in North- West Europe : Rotterdam, Antwerp, Hamburg and Le Havre. To assess the extent and distribution of inter-regional economic spillovers, we disaggregate national input/outputtables to the level of the functional port area and calculate the relevant Leontief multipliers. The results in this paper suggest a wide range of Leontief multipliers with different inter-regional patterns. The ports of Rotterdam and Antwerp have smaller overall multipliers but relatively large impacts on their own regional economies, in particular on the petro-chemical sector. In contrast, the ports of Hamburg and Le Havre have higher overall multipliers and show relatively high impacts on regions further away from the port, such as Bavaria and Ile-de-France. The policy implications of these results are discussed.
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