M. A. Ajeel, Muhammad A. Alkataan, O. B. Aghaa, Moataz Abdel-Gawad Abdel-Hamid Al-Ani, Zina Nizar Thanoun
{"title":"萨拉赫丁省控制新冠肺炎疫情的双干预社交距离策略比较研究","authors":"M. A. Ajeel, Muhammad A. Alkataan, O. B. Aghaa, Moataz Abdel-Gawad Abdel-Hamid Al-Ani, Zina Nizar Thanoun","doi":"10.2991/ahsr.k.211012.004","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The COVID-19 pandemic, which is caused by a novel coronavirus, is a global health issue. A respiratory tract illness, acute respiratory distress syndrome, micro thrombosis, sepsis, sepsis, and mortality are presented in this case. Early identification of suspected cases allows sufficient time for medical and local authorities to initiate an appropriate international and national infection transmission control protocols. Assess the effectiveness of the two-way strategy for distancing social intervention that has been implemented to control COVID 19 in the city of Salaheddin as compared to Santa Clara in the U.S. The COVID-19 mathematical model is used to estimate the expected burden of pandemic in Salaheddin City as well as in in Santa Clara, US. This model provides numerical data on the number and time interval of the application of appropriate intervention control strategies by comparing one-strategy (social distancing) with a two-stage strategy (social distancing & light switch approach). The two strategies show that, on average, in 12.3% of the population the baseline epidemic scenario affected 11.6%, with a 1-strategy contact rate of 70%. While only 0.11% of the population will have been infected by the two-intervention strategy at a rate of 20% of social contact, compared to 0.165% with the application of the one strategy. This will significantly reduce the spread of the infection and significantly delay the peak incidence of all hypotheses. The two-way social distancing strategy is an efficient tool in Salaheddin to control COVID-19 and represents a major success for the Crisis Cell pandemic in the city of Salaheddin until the end of the study period .","PeriodicalId":20538,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 1st International Ninevah Conference on Medical Sciences (INCMS 2021)","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Two-intervention Social Distancing Strategy to Control COVID-19 in Salaheddine Province; A Comparative Study\",\"authors\":\"M. A. Ajeel, Muhammad A. Alkataan, O. B. Aghaa, Moataz Abdel-Gawad Abdel-Hamid Al-Ani, Zina Nizar Thanoun\",\"doi\":\"10.2991/ahsr.k.211012.004\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The COVID-19 pandemic, which is caused by a novel coronavirus, is a global health issue. A respiratory tract illness, acute respiratory distress syndrome, micro thrombosis, sepsis, sepsis, and mortality are presented in this case. Early identification of suspected cases allows sufficient time for medical and local authorities to initiate an appropriate international and national infection transmission control protocols. Assess the effectiveness of the two-way strategy for distancing social intervention that has been implemented to control COVID 19 in the city of Salaheddin as compared to Santa Clara in the U.S. The COVID-19 mathematical model is used to estimate the expected burden of pandemic in Salaheddin City as well as in in Santa Clara, US. This model provides numerical data on the number and time interval of the application of appropriate intervention control strategies by comparing one-strategy (social distancing) with a two-stage strategy (social distancing & light switch approach). The two strategies show that, on average, in 12.3% of the population the baseline epidemic scenario affected 11.6%, with a 1-strategy contact rate of 70%. While only 0.11% of the population will have been infected by the two-intervention strategy at a rate of 20% of social contact, compared to 0.165% with the application of the one strategy. This will significantly reduce the spread of the infection and significantly delay the peak incidence of all hypotheses. The two-way social distancing strategy is an efficient tool in Salaheddin to control COVID-19 and represents a major success for the Crisis Cell pandemic in the city of Salaheddin until the end of the study period .\",\"PeriodicalId\":20538,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the 1st International Ninevah Conference on Medical Sciences (INCMS 2021)\",\"volume\":\"14 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the 1st International Ninevah Conference on Medical Sciences (INCMS 2021)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2991/ahsr.k.211012.004\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 1st International Ninevah Conference on Medical Sciences (INCMS 2021)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2991/ahsr.k.211012.004","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Two-intervention Social Distancing Strategy to Control COVID-19 in Salaheddine Province; A Comparative Study
The COVID-19 pandemic, which is caused by a novel coronavirus, is a global health issue. A respiratory tract illness, acute respiratory distress syndrome, micro thrombosis, sepsis, sepsis, and mortality are presented in this case. Early identification of suspected cases allows sufficient time for medical and local authorities to initiate an appropriate international and national infection transmission control protocols. Assess the effectiveness of the two-way strategy for distancing social intervention that has been implemented to control COVID 19 in the city of Salaheddin as compared to Santa Clara in the U.S. The COVID-19 mathematical model is used to estimate the expected burden of pandemic in Salaheddin City as well as in in Santa Clara, US. This model provides numerical data on the number and time interval of the application of appropriate intervention control strategies by comparing one-strategy (social distancing) with a two-stage strategy (social distancing & light switch approach). The two strategies show that, on average, in 12.3% of the population the baseline epidemic scenario affected 11.6%, with a 1-strategy contact rate of 70%. While only 0.11% of the population will have been infected by the two-intervention strategy at a rate of 20% of social contact, compared to 0.165% with the application of the one strategy. This will significantly reduce the spread of the infection and significantly delay the peak incidence of all hypotheses. The two-way social distancing strategy is an efficient tool in Salaheddin to control COVID-19 and represents a major success for the Crisis Cell pandemic in the city of Salaheddin until the end of the study period .