贸易开放与经济增长:来自撒哈拉以南非洲的面板数据证据

Markus Brüeckner, D. Lederman
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引用次数: 77

摘要

type="main" xml:id="ecca12160-abs-0001">本文使用工具变量方法估计撒哈拉以南非洲地区贸易开放与经济增长之间的关系。工具变量估计表明,经济增长对贸易开放具有显著的负同时效应,而贸易开放对经济增长具有显著的正同时效应。贸易占国内生产总值的比例每增加1个百分点,就会在某一年带来约0.5%的短期增长;对人均GDP水平的长期累积影响更大,达到2%左右。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trade Openness and Economic Growth: Panel Data Evidence from Sub‐Saharan Africa
type="main" xml:id="ecca12160-abs-0001"> This paper uses an instrumental variables approach to estimate the relationship between trade openness and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. Instrumental variables estimates show that economic growth has a significant negative contemporaneous effect on trade openness, while trade openness has a significant positive effect on economic growth. A 1 percentage point increase in the ratio of trade over GDP is associated with a short-run increase in growth of approximately 0.5% in a given year; the cumulative long-run effect on the level of GDP per capita is larger, reaching about 2%.
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