估计 SARS-CoV-2 的血清流行率。

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2023-05-19 eCollection Date: 2023-10-01 DOI:10.1093/jrsssa/qnad068
Samuel P Rosin, Bonnie E Shook-Sa, Stephen R Cole, Michael G Hudgens
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引用次数: 0

摘要

各国政府和公共卫生当局利用血清流行率研究来指导应对 COVID-19 大流行的措施。血清流行率调查估计的是可检测到 SARS-CoV-2 抗体的个人比例。然而,血清学检测容易出现分类错误,而且非概率抽样可能会导致选择偏差。本文考虑了非参数和参数血清流行率估计方法,通过利用验证数据和假设在协变量定义的分层中纳入样本的概率相等来解决这两个难题。结果表明,这两种估计方法都具有一致性和渐近正态性,并推导出一致的方差估计方法。模拟研究比较了各种情况下的估计值。这些方法被用于估计纽约市、比利时和北卡罗来纳州的严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)血清流行率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence.

Governments and public health authorities use seroprevalence studies to guide responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Seroprevalence surveys estimate the proportion of individuals who have detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. However, serologic assays are prone to misclassification error, and non-probability sampling may induce selection bias. In this paper, non-parametric and parametric seroprevalence estimators are considered that address both challenges by leveraging validation data and assuming equal probabilities of sample inclusion within covariate-defined strata. Both estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal, and consistent variance estimators are derived. Simulation studies are presented comparing the estimators over a range of scenarios. The methods are used to estimate severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seroprevalence in New York City, Belgium, and North Carolina.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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