技能转移、移民和发展:来自印度尼西亚人口重新安置的证据

Samuel Bazzi, Arya B. Gaduh, Alexander D. Rothenberg, Maisy Wong
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引用次数: 126

摘要

我们在印度尼西亚进行了一项自然实验,为特定地点的人力资本和技能可转移性在塑造生产力空间分布中的作用提供因果证据。从1979年到1988年,“迁移计划”将爪哇和巴厘岛农村的200万移民重新安置到外岛的新农村定居点。来自农业气候禀赋相似地区的移民村庄在10至20年后表现出更高的水稻产量和夜间光照强度。我们发现了一些移民适应农业气候变化的证据。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,地区生产率差异可能夸大了移民带来的潜在收益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Skill Transferability, Migration, and Development: Evidence from Population Resettlement in Indonesia
We use a natural experiment in Indonesia to provide causal evidence on the role of location-specific human capital and skill transferability in shaping the spatial distribution of productivity. From 1979-1988, the Transmigration Program relocated two million migrants from rural Java and Bali to new rural settlements in the Outer Islands. Villages assigned migrants from regions with more similar agroclimatic endowments exhibit higher rice productivity and nighttime light intensity one to two decades later. We find some evidence of migrants' adaptation to agroclimatic change. Overall, our results suggest that regional productivity differences may overstate the potential gains from migration.
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