在转型世界背景下未来几十年山羊活动的未来展望

J. Dubeuf
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文探讨了2000年至2020年世界山羊部门的演变及其前景。我们主要基于现有的统计数据,以及作者的观察和他参与的各种项目。它还更新了在20世纪最后几十年就同一主题进行的一项研究。在此期间,我们观察到山羊部门的不断发展和增长。这一趋势在2000年至2020年期间是相同的,但在亚洲和非洲没有那么强烈,而且更加本地化。关于我们全球未来的几个设想导致我们考虑到保护环境和生物多样性的绝对需要,但最重要的是减少地球上所有生产部门的温室气体排放。在这种情况下,我们将面临巨大的进步和发展模式的转变。尽管山羊系统排放的温室气体比其他反刍动物少,但我们也可以观察到,2000年期间,山羊部门的净排放量总体上有所增加。因此,它们的贡献很大,它们的净排放量必须减少,这将不利于最密集的系统。然而,虽然动物生产及其产品的消费日益受到排斥,但在这种情况下,山羊养殖(作为一般的畜牧养殖)可能会有一个光明的未来。山羊,特别是当地种群和品种的山羊,比任何其他反刍动物都具有更大的能力,能够自然吸收温室气体,而不需要其他用途,即饲料资源(草、灌木、作物或饲料残留物)。此外,山羊很容易融入小农场,加强农业与动物生产之间的互补性,在很大程度上被放弃,而倾向于专业化。加强本地化和跨学科的科学研究也将是必要的,以加强山羊养殖和创新的作用,作者建议为此目的建立“生活实验室”,将所有参与者联系起来。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Future Prospects on the Goat Activities for the Coming Decades in the Context of a World in Transition
This article explores the evolution of the goat sector in the world between 2000 and 2020 and its prospects. We base it mainly on the statistics available as well as on the author’s observations and his involvement in various projects. It also updates a study carried out on the same subject on the last decades of the 20th century. We observed a constant development and growth of the goat sector during this period. The trend has been the same between 2000 and 2020 but less strong and more localized in Asia and Africa. Several scenarios on our global future lead to consider the absolute need to preserve environment and biodiversity but above all to reduce the emission of GHGs for all productive sectors on the planet. In this case, we will face a dramatic progress and adevelopment paradigm shift. Although goat systems emit less GHGs than other ruminants, we can also observe an overall increase in net emissions by the goat sector between 2000. So, they contribute significantly and their net emission has to be reduced, which will disadvantage the most intensive systems. However, while animal production and the consumption of its products are increasingly ostracized, goat farming (as pastoral farming in general) could have a bright future in this context. Goats, particularly those of local populations and breeds, have more than any other ruminant significant capacities to valorize spontaneous absorbing GHGs forage resources (grass, shrubs, crop or feed residues) and without other uses. In addition, goats are easy to integrate in small farms and strengthen the complementarity between agriculture and animal production, largely abandoned in favor of specialization. The strengthening of localized and interdisciplinary scientific research will also be necessary to strengthen the role of goat farming and innovation and the author proposes the establishment of “living labs” associating all the actors involved for this purpose.
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