中美在东南亚地区竞争中的东盟安全问题

Nurul Titi Marie, Prawita Meidy Handayani, Samti Wira Wibawati
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引用次数: 0

摘要

美国和中国之间的紧张关系在全球范围内加剧,尤其是在东南亚。因此,东盟国家应该重新评估这两个大国之间的关系,无论是在东盟内部还是与外部对手的关系。鉴于该地区的战略价值,东南亚在过去十年中已成为美国和中国之间战略竞争的场所。因此,在海洋中的两个巨大礁石之间划着东盟的船,需要东盟作为一个共同体的韧性来克服当前和未来的挑战。东盟内部的潜在冲突可能成为大国削弱东盟团结的切入点。本研究旨在分析东盟地区应对挑战和满足对可持续东盟共同体的期望的最合适的方法,并评估东盟在当前环境下对大国保持中立的取向是否仍然适合为成员国的战略利益服务。在这方面,本文采用了定性的方法和综合安全社区和多元安全社区的概念来分析研究。研究结果表明,为了维护成员国可持续的共同战略利益(一方面是经济增长,另一方面是稳定的地区和平),现实的计算是不可忽视的。在这方面,一个稳固的东盟多元化安全共同体在该地区形成“可控的美中竞争”,保证其成员国和东盟的国家战略利益更具可持续性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Quo Vadis ASEAN Security Amidst the United States-China Rivalry in the Southeast Asia Region
Tensions between the United States and China intensify globally, particularly in Southeast Asia. Therefore, ASEAN countries should re-assess the ties between these two great powers, both within the ASEAN region and with external counterparts. Given the strategic value of the region, Southeast Asia has become the venue for strategic competition between the United States and China over the past decade. Therefore, rowing the ASEAN's boat among the two gigantic reefs in the ocean requires ASEAN resilience as a Community to overcome the current and future challenges. Potential conflicts intra-ASEAN could be entry points for major powers to weaken ASEAN's unity. The study aims to analyze the most suitable approach for ASEAN regionally to deal with the challenges and to meet the expectations for a sustainable ASEAN Community and assess whether ASEAN's orientation in maintaining neutrality against major powers remains suitable to serve the strategic interests of the member states in the current environment. In this regard, a qualitative method and concepts of Amalgamated Security Community and Pluralistic Security Community are applied to analyze the study. The results of the study show realistic calculation can never be overlooked to preserve sustainable common strategic interests for the member states, which include economic growth on the one hand, and stable regional peace on the other hand. In this regard, “a manageable United States-China rivalry” by a solid ASEAN Pluralistic Security Community in the region guarantees more sustainability of national strategic interests for its member states and ASEAN.
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