技术密集型出口的决定因素:1995-2017年非洲国家的案例

Agathe Fonkam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大量文献调查了高科技出口背后的驱动力,但大多数研究集中在发达国家和非洲以外的发展中国家。本文的目的是利用出口的技术含量(高技术、中技术和低技术出口)作为代理,评估决定出口导向技术变革的主要因素。为此,工具变量回归应用于33个非洲国家的面板数据集。调查结果显示,高技术出口的主要决定因素是:零部件进口、法治、人力资本、外国直接投资流入、人均国内生产总值和制造业。对于中等技术出口,确定的决定因素与包括人口在内的高技术出口相似。低技术制成品出口的主要决定因素是零部件进口、法治、人口、外国直接投资流入、人均国内生产总值和制造业。这使非洲国家的决策者在按技术类别制定与出口有关的政策方面有了一个有针对性的办法。本文对文献的贡献在于,它使用不同水平的出口技术含量(高技术、中技术和低技术出口)来评估决定出口导向技术变革的主要因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of technology-intensive exports: The case of African countries, 1995–2017
An extensive literature has investigated the driving forces behind high-technology exports, but most studies focus on developed countries and developing countries outside Africa. The purpose of this paper is to assess the main factors determining export-oriented technological change, using the technological content of exports (high-tech, medium-tech and low-tech exports) as a proxy. For this purpose, instrumental variable regressions are applied to a panel dataset of 33 African countries. The findings revealed that the main determinants of high-technology exports are: imports of components, rule of law, human capital, FDI inflows, GDP per capita and manufacturing. For medium-technology exports, the determinants identified are similar to high-technology exports with population included. The main determinants of low-technology manufactured exports are imports of components, rule of law, population, FDI inflows, GDP per capita and manufacturing. These give policymakers in African countries a targeted approach in formulating policies related to exports by technological category. This paper contributes to the literature in that it assesses the main factors determining export-oriented technological change, using different levels of technological content of exports (high-tech, medium-tech and low-tech exports).
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