墨西哥社会剥夺的动态

IF 0.5 4区经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS

Latin American Economic Review Pub Date : 2021-06-04 DOI:10.47872/LAER-2021-30-2

José Carlos Ramírez

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在使用马尔可夫方法对墨西哥社会剥夺的动态进行建模。首先，我们建立了一个场景，其中表征社会剥夺的项目列表在样本期间(2002-2012)演变为一阶马尔可夫链。然后，我们估计隐马尔可夫模型的潜在状态和遍历向量，以验证从这种情况下得出的结论的强度。在收集了这两种分析的结果后，我们发现了类似的贫困模式。该论文的结论表明，墨西哥贫困状况的演变可能很快会略微恶化。JEL分类:C15, I32

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The dynamics of social deprivation in Mexico

This paper aims to model the dynamics of social deprivation in Mexico using a Markovian approach. First, we establish a scenario where a list of items characterizing social deprivation evolves as a first-order Markov chain under the sample period (2002-2012). Then, we estimate latent states and ergodic vectors of a hidden-Markov model to verify the strength of the conclusions drawn from such a scenario. After collecting results from both kinds of analyses, we find a similar pattern of impoverishment. The paper’s conclusions state that the evolution of Mexico’s deprivation profile may slightly worsen soon. JEL Classification: C15, I32

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来源期刊

Latin American Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

0.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

36 weeks

期刊介绍： Latin American Economic Review aims to be the leading general interest journal on topics relevant to Latin America. The journal welcomes high-quality theoretical and quantitative papers on economic, social and political-economy issues with a regional focus. Articles presenting new data bases or describing structural reforms within a rigorous theoretical framework will also be considered. A few (illustrative) examples of topics that may be of special interest to this journal include: inflation, informal sector, corruption, crime, drug policy, unions, social exclusion, price controls, energy and environmental policy, natural resources, and technology transfer.