南非-北欧关系

Nora Hattar, Kine M. Bækkevold
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自从南非在90年代中期实现民主化以来,南非和北欧国家在教育和研究、商业和贸易以及和平与安全等领域进行了多边和双边合作。通过探讨研究问题“南非与北欧地区战略伙伴关系的前景如何?”,这篇文章提供了对南非-北欧当代关系的本质的见解,并推进了我们对影响战略伙伴关系形成的因素的理论理解。本文的分析借鉴了托马斯·威尔金斯的战略伙伴关系模型,该模型认为战略伙伴关系的形成取决于三个核心因素:环境不确定性、战略契合和系统原则。本文认为,第四个因素,即国际和国内政治环境,在战略伙伴关系的形成阶段也起着作用;这一论点得到了南非-北欧案例的实证支持。用于分析的数据主要来自南非和北欧的政府文件,偶尔也会参考政党文件、学术出版物和新闻文章。该文件的结论是,共同国家利益和共同价值观的多元性为南非与北欧国家建立全面互利的战略伙伴关系提供了肥沃的土壤。然而,当前的政治背景因素降低了在不久的将来出现这种战略伙伴关系的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
South Africa-Nordic Relations
Since the democratisation of South Africa in the mid-90s, South Africa and the Nordic countries have cooperated multilaterally as well as in bilateral settings in areas such as education and research, business and trade, and peace and security. By exploring the research question ‘What are the prospects for a strategic partnership between South Africa and the Nordic region?’, this article provides insights into the nature of South Africa-Nordic contemporary relations and advances our theoretical understanding of what factors influence the formation of strategic partnerships. The analysis is informed by Thomas Wilkins’ strategic partnership model, which sets forth that the formation of strategic partnerships hinges on three core factors: environmental uncertainty, strategic fit, and a system principle. It is argued herein that a fourth factor, international and domestic political context, also plays a role in the formation phase of a strategic partnership; an argument which is supported empirically by the South Africa-Nordic case. Data for the analysis is mainly collected from South African and Nordic government documents, while occasionally also drawing upon party documents, academic publications, and news articles. The paper concludes that the plurality of common national interests and shared values make fertile ground for a comprehensive and mutually beneficial strategic partnership between South Africa and the Nordics. Nevertheless, current political contextual factors diminish the likelihood that such a strategic partnership will emerge in the immediate future.
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