旁观者眼中的投票欺诈:公众舆论在对选民身份要求的挑战中的作用

S. Ansolabehere, N. Persily
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引用次数: 82

摘要

在当前关于选民身份法是否符合宪法的辩论中,最高法院和这些法律的捍卫者都认为,这些法律在一定程度上是合理的,因为它们抵消了对选民欺诈的普遍恐惧,这种恐惧会导致公民脱离民主。由于选民冒充欺诈的实际证据很少,而且如果欺诈成功,也很难获得,因此,对欺诈普遍程度的判断依赖于公众舆论,可能会使法院逃避平衡所涉及的实际宪法风险的艰巨任务。在这篇简短的文章中,我们采用一项独特的调查来评估公众舆论对选民欺诈的原因和影响。我们发现,对欺诈的认知与个人投票的可能性没有关系。我们还发现,受到更严格身份要求约束的选民认为,欺诈行为与受到较少严格身份要求约束的选民一样普遍。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Vote Fraud in the Eye of the Beholder: The Role of Public Opinion in the Challenge to Voter Identification Requirements
In the current debate over the constitutionality of voter identification laws, both the Supreme Court and defenders of such laws have justified them, in part, as counteracting a widespread fear of voter fraud that leads citizens to disengage from the democracy. Because actual evidence of voter impersonation fraud is rare and difficult to come by if fraud is successful, reliance on public opinion as to the prevalence of fraud threatens to allow courts to evade the difficult task of balancing the actual constitutional risks involved. In this short Article we employ a unique survey to evaluate the causes and effects of public opinion regarding voter fraud. We find that perceptions of fraud have no relationship to an individual's likelihood of turning out to vote. We also find that voters who were subject to stricter identification requirements believe fraud is just as widespread as do voters subject to less restrictive identification requirements.
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