对新冠肺炎疫情期间越南商业银行的财务状况进行压力测试

Nguyen Quoc Anh, Tang My Sang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情对经济的许多方面都产生了影响,包括商业银行业务。疫情对银行经营的影响主要通过三个渠道,当疫情发生时,许多企业不得不停止生产经营,个人和家庭面临许多困难,企业或外国投资者的消费行为和投资结构发生变化。这些主体的财务状况影响着银行的经营。该研究旨在了解大流行在大流行的早期阶段对银行财务健康的影响。2017年至2020年期间的二级数据收集自24家越南商业银行的财务报表。使用配对t检验对指标进行分析。文章指出了疫情期间需要关注的三个问题:(1)流动性指数上升;(2)不良贷款下降,正常情况下,该指标逐年持续上升;(3)资产收益率增加,正常情况下,该指标逐年持续下降。然后,本文提出了帮助银行在大流行期间有效运营的解决方案的影响。这项研究为疫情对越南银行业务的影响提供了新的认识,越南的金融体系主要依赖银行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stress Test the financial health of the Vietnam commercial bank during the Covid-19 pandemic
The Covid-19 pandemic has had an impact on many aspects of the economy, including commercial banking. The effect of the pandemic on the bank’s operation through three main channels, when the pandemic happens, many enterprises have to stop production and business, individuals and households face many difficulties, the change in consumer behavior and investment structure of enterprises or foreign investors. The financial situation of these subjects affects the operation of the bank. The study aims to understand the impact of the pandemic on the financial health of banks in the early stages of the pandemic. Secondary data for the period 2017 to 2020 was collected from the financial statements of 24 Vietnamese commercial banks. The indicators are analyzed using a paired t-test. The article has identified three issues to be concerned about during the pandemic: (1) The liquidity index increases; (2) Non-performing loans decreased while under normal conditions, this index increases continuously over the years; (3) Return on asset increases while under normal conditions, this index decreases continuously over the years. Then, the article proposes implications for solutions to help banks operate efficiently during the pandemic. This study offers a new understanding of the effect of the pandemic on banking operations in Vietnam, a country whose financial system depends mainly on banks.
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