外商直接投资对孟加拉国就业水平的影响:VECM方法

K. M. Uddin, Munem Ahmad Chowdhury
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究旨在调查外国直接投资(FDI)在孟加拉国整体就业创造中的作用,该研究使用了1991年至2018年的年度时间序列数据。国内生产总值(GDP)和贸易开放对就业水平的作用也被讨论。采用Johansen-Juselius协整模型和向量误差修正模型检验变量间的长期关系和短期动态。结果表明,各变量之间存在协整关系。FDI和GDP对就业都有显著的正向影响,但长期来看,贸易开放对就业有负向影响。但短期内FDI与就业呈负相关。本文建议集中制定有效的政策,吸引投资者进行绿地投资,即投资建立新企业,创造大规模的就业机会,并为本地生产者提供机会和物流支持,以生产更多的进口替代产品,以减少进口依赖倾向。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of FDI on Employment Level in Bangladesh: A VECM Approach
This study is designed to investigate the role of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in overall job creation in Bangladesh where annual time series data is used spanning from 1991 to 2018. The role of gross domestic products (GDP) and trade openness on employment level are also addressed. Johansen-Juselius cointegration and Vector error correction model are performed to check long run relationship and short run dynamics among the variables. The findings show that there exists co-integrating relations among the variables. Both FDI and GDP have significant positive effect on employment but trade openness possess the negative impact on employment in the long run. But FDI is negatively related with employment in the short run. This paper suggests to concentrate on making efficient policies to attract investors in green field investment which means investing for the establishment of new firms to create job opportunities in a large scale and to give the opportunity and logistic support to the native producers to produce more import substituted goods for reducing import dependence tendency.
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