评估乌克兰农村人口就业和收入的风险和前景

N. Patyka, Y. Pasichnyk
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引用次数: 1

摘要

任何国家的就业、家庭资源总额,特别是农村人口的收入和支出,都是福祉的直接反映,也是社会经济发展的重要标准。这项研究的目的是确定风险,比较和确定乌克兰农村人口的就业和收入前景。本研究的方法论基础是系统的方法。分析研究采用了比较分析法、图解法、趋势分析法、指数分析法、相关回归分析法。分析了目前的情况,确定了乌克兰农村就业趋势及其1991-2021年的收入水平。可以确定的是,在过去的30年里,农村地区的社会经济危机继续恶化,这表现在失业和贫困的增加。确定并系统化影响农村人口收入的主要外部和内部因素。确定主要影响因素是经济因素。考虑到乌克兰的复苏计划和其他指标,对农村人口的就业、工资和收入水平进行了预测。事实证明,确保就业和克服贫穷应以农业生产多样化为基础,而不应局限于农业活动。研究报告中提出的主要规定和结论可用于证明国家管理机构在制定和执行乌克兰农村人口就业领域有效的长期国家政策并作出管理决定的过程中,优化制定方案的办法,以增加农村人口的收入。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of risks and prospects of employment and income of the rural population of Ukraine
Employment, total household resources, in particular, income and expenditures of the rural population in any country are a direct reflection of well-being and a substantial criterion for socio-economic development. The purpose of the study is to identify risks, compare and determine the prospects for employment and income of the rural population of Ukraine. The methodological basis of the research is a systematic approach. Comparative analysis, graphical method, trend, index, correlation-regression analysis is used in the analytical study. Current conditions are analysed and trends in rural employment in Ukraine and their income level for 1991-2021 are determined. It was established that over the past 30 years, the socio-economic crisis in rural areas continues to worsen, which is manifested in increased unemployment and poverty. The main external and internal factors influencing the incomes of the rural population are identified and systematised. It is determined that the main influence is exerted by economic factors. Considering the recovery plan of Ukraine and other indicators, the level of employment, salaries, and incomes of the rural population is predicted. It is proved that ensuring employment and overcoming poverty should be based on the diversification of agricultural production and beyond agricultural activities. The main provisions and conclusions presented in the study can be used in the process of justifying and making managerial decisions by state management bodies in the development and implementation of an effective long-term national policy in the field of employment of the rural population of Ukraine, optimising approaches to the development of programmes to increase the income of the rural population.
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