创业对就业的影响:土耳其的计量经济调查

K. Karagöz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与过去一样,经济管理人员和政治决策者面临的主要问题之一是增加就业和与失业作斗争。土耳其是一个不得不应对高失业率的国家,自20世纪60年代以来几乎每个时期都出现过。特别是在20世纪80年代之后,由于全球化和技术进步而开始增加的失业率在90年代达到了全球措施的高水平。除了金融和货币政策之外,政府还可以使用各种社会工具来实现这一目标。对私营部门的补贴、对自营职业者的援助、投资奖励和设施都可以在这一框架内考虑。因此,可以预期这些支持企业活动的政策将通过就业和增长间接和间接地作出积极贡献。在本研究中,以土耳其为例,实证调查了创业增加对就业和失业的影响。根据使用现代时间序列分析工具进行分析获得的实证结果,虽然土耳其创业活动的增加在长期内对就业有积极影响,但它对失业率没有预期的影响。这种看似矛盾的结果,一方面可以用创业技能的不足来解释,另一方面可以用对不成功和投资不足的分析来解释。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
IMPACT OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP ON EMPLOYMENT: AN ECONOMETRIC INVESTIGATION FOR TURKEY
As is the case in the past, one of the main problems faced by economic administrators and political decision makers is increasing employment and struggling with unemployment. Turkey is a country that has had to deal with the high unemployment rates seen in almost every period since 1960’s. Especially after the 1980s, unemployment which started to increase due to globalization and technological progress reached high levels in the 1990s in terms of global measures. Besides financial and monetary policies, there are various social tools that governments can use for this purpose. Subsidies for the private sector, assistance to self-employed people, investment incentives and facilities can be regarded in this framework. It can, therefore, be expected that these policies to support entrepreneurial activities will contribute positively, both indirectly and indirectly, through employment and growth. In this study, reflections of the increase in entrepreneurship onto employment and unemployment are empirically investigated for the case of Turkey. According to the empirical findings obtained from the analysis carried out using modern time series analysis tools, while the increase in entrepreneurial activities in Turkey has a positive effect on employment in the long run, it does not have the expected effect on unemployment. This seemingly contradictory result can be explained partly by the weakness of entrepreneurial skills and partly by analyses of unsuccessful and inadequate investment.
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