美洲开发银行与全球金融危机:促进生产性发展

Paul Cammack
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文回顾了美洲开发银行(IDB)对“全球金融危机”的反应,背景是它在危机前对区域发展优先事项的分析。2003年至2009年期间,世行将重点放在了“生产性发展”上:在一体化的世界经济中为开放的国家经济制定“工业”政策,重点放在提高生产率的社会和劳动力市场改革上。它对危机的反应反映了这样一个事实:就拉丁美洲和加勒比地区而言,它是短暂的,并让位于一个全球再平衡阶段,在这个阶段,恢复增长的条件基本上是良性的(容易获得资本和对大宗商品的强劲需求),但同时它们的影响是可变的,并且充满了风险。2008年至2013年是一个机遇与危机并存的时期;生产和贸易与金融一样重要,尽管存在需要管理的金融风险;区域内差异与“全球”影响同样重要。世界银行一贯强调,一旦整个世界经济走出危机时期,就必须做好恢复和保持生产发展势头的准备。2013年,随着危机接近尾声,世行再次强调了长期存在的低生产率和国内储蓄问题,并将普遍存在的非正规劳动力和低效企业视为持续增长的主要障碍。因此,报告认为,政策应侧重于资源的重新分配、消除不正当的激励措施和促进提高生产率的结构改革。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Inter-American Development Bank and the Global Financial Crisis: Promoting Productive Development
This paper reviews the response of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) to the 'global financial crisis', against the background of its analysis of regional development priorities prior to the crisis. Between 2003 and 2009 the Bank developed a focus on 'productive development': 'industrial' policies for open national economies in an integrated world economy, with an emphasis on productivity-enhancing social and labour-market reforms. Its response to the crisis reflected the fact that as far as Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) was concerned, it was short-lived, and gave way to a phase of global rebalancing in which conditions for renewed growth were largely benign (with easy access to capital and strong demand for commodities), but at the same time variable in their impact, and fraught with risk. The period between 2008 and 2013 was as much one of opportunity as crisis; production and trade were as significant as finance, though there were financial risks that needed to be managed; and intra-regional variation was as important as 'global' impact. The Bank consistently stressed the need to be ready to restore and maintain the momentum of productive development once the world economy as a whole emerged from the crisis period. In 2013, as the crisis drew to a close, the Bank again highlighted long-running problems of low productivity and domestic savings, and identified the prevalence of informal labour and inefficient firms as the principal obstacles to sustained growth. It argued, therefore, that policy should focus on the reallocation of resources, the elimination of perverse incentives, and the promotion of productivity-enhancing structural reform.
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