{"title":"具有隐周期的月雨量预报模型","authors":"C. Shi, Huiming Wang, Fancheng Yin","doi":"10.1109/IFOST.2011.6021244","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper models the monthly rainfall series by SARIMA and spectrum methods. The hidden periodicities of unspecified frequency are resolved by periodogram, Fisher's test and Kolmogorov-Simirnov test. Then the presence of a non-sinusoidal periodic component with specified integer-value period is confirmed. For comparison, SARIMA models are also established for prediction.","PeriodicalId":20466,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of 2011 6th International Forum on Strategic Technology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2011-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Monthly rainfall forecasting model with hidden periodicities\",\"authors\":\"C. Shi, Huiming Wang, Fancheng Yin\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/IFOST.2011.6021244\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper models the monthly rainfall series by SARIMA and spectrum methods. The hidden periodicities of unspecified frequency are resolved by periodogram, Fisher's test and Kolmogorov-Simirnov test. Then the presence of a non-sinusoidal periodic component with specified integer-value period is confirmed. For comparison, SARIMA models are also established for prediction.\",\"PeriodicalId\":20466,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of 2011 6th International Forum on Strategic Technology\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2011-09-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of 2011 6th International Forum on Strategic Technology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/IFOST.2011.6021244\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of 2011 6th International Forum on Strategic Technology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/IFOST.2011.6021244","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Monthly rainfall forecasting model with hidden periodicities
This paper models the monthly rainfall series by SARIMA and spectrum methods. The hidden periodicities of unspecified frequency are resolved by periodogram, Fisher's test and Kolmogorov-Simirnov test. Then the presence of a non-sinusoidal periodic component with specified integer-value period is confirmed. For comparison, SARIMA models are also established for prediction.
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