气候对尼日利亚水稻和玉米产量影响的模糊逻辑建模

G. Aimufua, J. O. Akimoh, A. Jegede
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在尼日利亚,农民占劳动力的三分之一以上。尽管政府和其他相关利益攸关方采取了应对气候变化对尼日利亚农业活动影响的战略和措施,但该国仍继续受到气候变化的威胁,这对粮食生产,特别是作为该国主要粮食的大米和玉米产生了负面影响。根据温度和湿度对农业生产力的影响,由于湿度水平造成的高降水否定了农业产量。天气灾害、森林砍伐、疾病传播和物种灭绝都是限制农业生产率的气候变量。这项研究的目标是使用机器学习算法来确定可耕种作物的最佳天气条件。利用模糊逻辑对农业产量进行建模和预测。辅助数据、预处理和处理、建模和用户界面是构成系统设计的五个部分。从1月到12月,获得的大部分数据显示收获值为低(54.8%),一般(23.6%)和良好(21.5%)。农业活动应在5月至9月之间进行,而需要大量降雨的作物应在降雨量最高的7月至8月之间播种。根据收集、提取和评估的数据,研究认为农业作业应在5月至9月之间进行,以获得良好的收获质量。这项研究的结果将指导政策制定者和农民获得丰收,增加收入,提高国家的GDP。最后,根据这项研究,水稻等需要大量雨水的作物应该在7月到8月之间种植。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling of Climate Effect on Arable Crops Production of Oryza Sativa and Zea Mays in Nigeria Using Fuzzy Logic
In Nigeria, farmers account for more than a third of the labor force. Despite the government's and other relevant stakeholders' strategies and measures to address climate change's impact on agricultural activities in Nigeria, the country has continued to be threatened by climate change, which has had negative consequences for food production, particularly rice and maize, which are the country's main staple foods. High precipitation owing to moisture levels negates agricultural yields, according to the impacts of temperature and moisture levels on agriculture productivity. Weather disasters, deforestation, disease transmission, and species extinction are all climate variables that limit agricultural production rates. The goal of this research is to use machine learning algorithms to determine the best weather conditions for arable crops. To model and predict agricultural yields, fuzzy logic was used. Secondary data, pre-processing and processing, modeling, and the user interface are the five sections that make up the system design. The harvesting outcomes for each of the months specified From January through December, the majority of the data obtained revealed Harvest values of low (54.8%), fair (23.6%), and good (21.5%) quality. Agricultural activities should be carried out between MAY and SEP, whereas crops that require a lot of rain should be sown between JUL and AUG when rainfall is at its highest. The study concluded that agricultural operations should be carried out between MAY and SEP in order to achieve good harvest quality, based on the data collected, extracted, and assessed. The findings of the study will guide policymakers and farmers toward a bumper harvest, increased income, and a rise in the country's GDP. Finally, crops that require a lot of rain, like rice, should be planted between July and August, according to the research.
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