埃塞俄比亚的国际移民、汇款和扶贫

Emerta Assaminew, Getachew Ahmed, K. Aberra, Tewodros Makonnen
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引用次数: 19

摘要

本文探讨了国际汇款对埃塞俄比亚经济以及家庭生计和福利的影响。一个简单的动态计量经济模型,向量自回归(VAR)模型,被用来评估国际汇款对吸收、支出和产出的影响。此外,我们使用二元结果模型来检验汇款是否对家庭福利有影响。此外,这项研究利用了宏观经济数据和埃塞俄比亚城市住户调查的数据。研究发现,汇款冲击对宏观经济变量有正向影响;在冲击过后的最初阶段,效果仍然是不稳定的。然而,在第五个周期之后的几年里,这种影响往往会持续下去。此外,通过增长与贫困之间的积极(但非弹性)关系,私人汇款流入对埃塞俄比亚的贫困有重要影响。国际汇款大大减少了该国城市家庭的贫困发生率。研究还发现,女性户主家庭比男性户主家庭更有可能更有效地使用汇款。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
International migration, remittances and poverty alleviation in Ethiopia
The article explores the impact of international remittances on the Ethiopian economy as well as the livelihoods and welfare of households. A simple dynamic econometric model, Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, was used to assess the impact of international remittances on absorption, spending and output. Moreover, we used binary outcome model to test whether remittances have an impact on the welfare of households. Besides, the study made use of macroeconomic data and data from the Ethiopian urban household survey. It was found that remittance shocks positively affect macroeconomic variables; the effect remained to be volatile in the very first periods after the shock. However, the impacts tend to sustain in the years after the fifth period. Moreover, through the positive (but inelastic) relationship between growth and poverty, private remittance inflows have an important implication for poverty in Ethiopia. International remittances significantly reduced the poverty incidence among the urban households in the country. It was also found that female-headed households are more likely to use remittance more effectively than male-headed households are.
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