重新审视罗默的假设以及巴基斯坦的开放与通货膨胀关系

March 16 Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI:10.51380/gujr-39-01-09
Madiha Munir, Saira Tufail, M. Ahmed
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大规模的经济一体化加上日益严重的通货膨胀成为发展中经济体面临的严重困境。通货膨胀最近已成为主要的经济问题,因此有必要调查造成这一问题的其他原因。本研究利用1990年至2021年巴基斯坦的时间序列数据,重新审视了开放如何影响通货膨胀这一古老的主题。本研究的主要目的是利用协整分析来探讨罗默假设以及开放程度与巴基斯坦通货膨胀之间的关系。其他解释变量包括实际农业增加值增长、货币年均增长率、准货币与经济开放度。虽然开放和通货膨胀有长期的正相关关系,但没有证据表明存在短期关系,这驳斥了罗默对巴基斯坦的观点。本研究通过以往研究的结果和支持,为得出通货膨胀及其主要原因的结论提供了重要的信息。此外,它还提供了关于通货膨胀如何受到全球经济一体化影响的新视角,以及通货膨胀如何从不同层面对金融增长产生意想不到的影响,从而进一步阻碍可持续发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
REVISITING THE ROMER’S HYPOTHESIS AND OPENNESS AND INFLATION RELATIONSHIP FOR PAKISTAN
The substantial economic integration coupled with the increased inflation becomes serious dilemma for developing economies. Inflation has recently emerged as the major economic issue, making it necessary to investigate the additional causes of this issue. This study revisited the age-old subject of how openness affects inflation, utilizing time-series data from 1990 to 2021 for Pakistan. Primary goal of study is to investigate Romer hypothesis and relationship between openness as well as inflation in Pakistan using Co-integration analysis. Other explanatory variables are the growth of real agriculture value added, an average annual growth rate of money, and quasi-money and openness of economy. Though openness and inflation have a positive long-run relationship, there is no evidence of a short-run relationship, refuting Romer's argument for Pakistan. Present study offered signifncant information through results and support from previous studies in reaching the conclusion about inflation and its main reasons behand. Additionally, it offers renewed perspectives on how inflation is affected by global economic integration and how it thus undesarbaly influenced the financial growth from different dimensions that further hinders sustainable development.
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