利用模拟通风数据和随机森林模型确定地下矿井火灾的位置和规模。

IF 2 3区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES
Yuting Xue, Davood Bahrami, Lihong Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

煤矿井下火灾威胁着煤矿工人的安全和健康。及时确定井下火灾的位置和规模对于制定灭火策略和降低任何伤害风险都非常重要。本文利用机器学习技术开发了地下矿井火灾位置和火势大小的预测模型。通风数据是通过 MFire 模拟不同的矿井火灾场景获得的。所有巷道的通风数据都被用作预测火灾位置的特征。根据特征的重要性,选择了五条巷道进行监测,并利用所选巷道的气流数据预测火灾地点和火灾规模。预测火灾位置的准确率为 0.920。此外,为了提高随机森林模型的性能,还对错误预测的特征进行了深入分析。结果表明,在一些位置紧密相连的气道上发生火灾,会产生相互误导的通风数据,通过将它们分组,模型性能可进一步提高到 0.962。火灾规模是影响模型性能的另一个因素,模型精度随着火灾规模的增大而提高。这项研究的结果有助于矿山安全人员在矿山火灾紧急情况下做出明智的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identifying the Location and Size of an Underground Mine Fire with Simulated Ventilation Data and Random Forest Model.

Underground mine fires are a threat to the safety and health of mine workers. The timely determination of the location and size of an underground fire is of great importance in developing firefighting strategies and reducing the risk of any injuries. Machine learning was used in this paper to develop a predictive model for fire location and fire size in an underground mine. The ventilation data were obtained by simulating different mine fire scenarios with MFire. The ventilation data of all airways were used as features to predict the fire location. Based on the feature importance, five airways were selected to monitor, and the airflow data of the selected airways were used to predict the fire location and fire size. An accuracy score of 0.920 was obtained for the prediction of fire location. In addition, in-depth analyses were conducted to characterize the wrong predictions with the purpose of improving the performance of the random forest model. The results show that the occurrence of fire at closely connected airways at some locations can generate misleading ventilation data for each other and the model performance can be further improved to 0.962 by grouping them. Fire size is another factor affecting the model performance and the model accuracy increases with increasing fire size. The result from this study can help mine safety personnel make informed decisions during a mine fire emergency.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
5.00%
发文量
75
期刊介绍: Economic Development and Cultural Change (EDCC) is an economic journal publishing studies that use modern theoretical and empirical approaches to examine both the determinants and the effects of various dimensions of economic development and cultural change. EDCC’s focus is on empirical papers with analytic underpinnings, concentrating on micro-level evidence, that use appropriate data to test theoretical models and explore policy impacts related to a broad range of topics relevant to economic development.
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