国际油籽贸易的全球化

J. Mittaine, T. Mielke
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引用次数: 10

摘要

在一个全球化的世界里,商品和服务贸易构成了经济体系的核心。但是,根据有关产品的性质,贸易形式可能表现出极大的多样性。技术和功能上的限制确实施加了它们的法律,特别是当它们涉及到生物产品/商品时。全球化一词通常用来描述一个复杂的国际一体化过程。当提到油籽时,这个词还必须与农业和人类对世界各地不断增长的人口的营养需求有关,特别是在大城市环境中。油籽的年产量约为4.5亿吨,其生产模式自然是“全球化”的。其生产计划的复杂性及其在广泛地理区域使用的多样性使这组商品在世界市场上具有独特的作用。这一开放贸易渠道的过程使该部门能够满足人口和所有工业用途(包括替代“绿色”能源)迅速增长的需求。然而,就目前而言,需求增长尚未被产量增长完全抵消。因此,除非对种植面积进行严格的重新分配,或者开发出新的高产技术,否则植物油将在很长一段时间内保持强劲的需求基础,再加上人口密集的新兴经济体经济增长带来的机械需求,这是一个事实。预计每年的供需平衡仍将是一项艰巨的任务。归根结底,整个行业的未来在很大程度上取决于技术,因为最终的利害关系是确保在不久的将来养活90亿人口。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The globalization of international oilseeds trade
In a globalised world, the trade of goods and services constitute the heart of the economic system. But the trade patterns may show extreme diversity depending upon the nature of the concerned products. The technical and functional constraints do impose their laws, particularly when they relate to biological products/commodities. The term globalization is generally used to describe a complex process of international integration. When referring to oilseeds, the term must also relate to agriculture and human nutritional requirements for a rising human population spread all over the world, particularly in large urban environment.With an annual harvest of about 450 Mn T, oilseeds are naturally “globalized” in their production patterns. The complexity of their production schemes associated with the diversity of their usage on widespread geographical regions gives this group of commodities a unique role on the world markets. This process of opened trade channels has enabled the sector to meet the supply requirements of a quickly rising demand coming from both the population and all the industrial usages including alternative “green” energy.However, for the time being, demand growth has not been fully counter-balanced by production growth. As a consequence, unless some strict reallocation of acreage is effectively organized or new high yielding technologies are developed, it is a fact that vegetable oil will keep a strong demand base for a long time, compounded by the mechanical demand from economic growth in highly populated emerging economies. The balancing of supply and demand is expected to remain a tight exercise every year. At the end of the day, the future of the entire industry largely lies in technology because the final stake is to ensure the proper feeding of a 9 billion people population in a not too far future.
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