菲律宾拉古纳Los Baños道路交通事故数据调查与可视化研究

Jonardo R. Asor, G. Catedrilla, Jheanel E. Estrada
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引用次数: 9

摘要

道路安全是各国日常经济增长中最重要、最关键的组成部分之一。它对公共卫生产生了巨大影响,特别是在菲律宾。确保其安全将对一个特定国家的经济增长有很大帮助。本文的主要目的是分析道路事故的数据,发现隐藏的模式,可以作为预防措施,至少减少事故每年发生在Los Baños,拉古纳,菲律宾。采用决策树、Naïve贝叶斯和规则归纳法等预测算法对拉古纳州Los Baños的事故影响因素进行识别。使用这三种分类器,研究人员得到的结果如下:决策树的准确率为92.84%,kappa为0.797;Naïve贝叶斯算法的准确率为91.50%,kappa为0.741;规则归纳准确率为92.50%,kappa为0.783。研究人员发现,事故发生的地点与受害者的死亡率没有显著的相关性。另一方面,研究人员还发现,时间和天数对道路交通事故(尤其是汽车碰撞)受害者的死亡率或严重程度起着至关重要的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A study on the road accidents using data investigation and visualization in Los Baños, Laguna, Philippines
Road safety is one of the most vital and crucial part of every countries daily economic growth. It gives so much impact in public health specially in the Philippines. Securing its safety will be a big help to a particular country's economic growth. The main objective of this paper is to analyze road accident's data to discover hidden pattern that can be used as precautionary measure to at least lessen the accident that occur yearly in Los Baños, Laguna, Philippines. Predicting algorithms such as Decision Tree, Naïve Bayes and Rule induction were used to identify factors affecting accident in Los Baños, Laguna. Using these three classifier the following are the results obtained by the researchers; for Decision Tree 92.84% accuracy occurred with 0.797 kappa while in Naïve Bayes 91.50% accuracy was generated with 0.741 kappa and 92.50% accuracy for Rule Induction and 0.783 kappa was produced. The researchers discovered that the place where an accident happened don't have significant correlation on the fatality of the victim. On the other hand, the researchers also found that the time and day play a vital role on the fatality or severity of victims of road accident particularly car collision.
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