中国主要城市工业部门二氧化碳影子价格的自举评估

IF 2.3 4区经济学 0 ECONOMICS

Climate Change Economics Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI:10.1142/s2010007821500159

Mian Yang, Jiangchuan Xu, Menghan Li, Hongbo Duan

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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文构建了基于自举法的修正评估模型，对2005 - 2018年中国35个典型城市工业部门的二氧化碳影子价格进行了估算。基于中国七个试点区域碳市场的数据，我们评估了当前的二氧化碳交易价格扭曲。实证结果表明:研究期间，目标城市的平均CO2影子价格为1915.86元/吨，采用bootstrap方法进行偏差校正后下降至1880.57元/吨。由于“十一五”规划后环境法规的加强，大多数主要城市的二氧化碳影子价格总体趋势呈上升趋势。此外，与本文的二氧化碳影子价格相比，试点城市的碳交易价格存在显著的负向扭曲，可能无法反映碳减排的真实机会成本。根据研究结果，提出了若干政策建议。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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A BOOTSTRAP ASSESSMENT OF THE SHADOW PRICES OF CO2 FOR THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR IN CHINA’S KEY CITIES

This study constructs a modified assessment model based on the bootstrap method to estimate the CO2 shadow prices for 35 typical cities’ industrial sectors in China from 2005 to 2018. Based on data from China’s seven pilot regional carbon markets, we evaluate the current CO2 trading price distortions. The empirical results indicate that during the study period, the average CO2 shadow price for the target cities is 1915.86 yuan per tonne, decreasing to 1880.57 yuan per tonne when using the bootstrap method for bias correction. The overall trends of CO2 shadow prices in most key cities are increasing given the strengthening of environmental regulations following the 11th Five-Year Plan. In addition, compared with the CO2 shadow prices in this paper, carbon trading prices in pilot cities present significantly negative distortions, which may fail to reflect the real opportunity cost of carbon abatement. Based on the findings of this study, several policy recommendations are proposed.

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来源期刊

Climate Change Economics Multiple-

CiteScore

5.10

自引率

17.40%

发文量

期刊介绍： Climate Change Economics (CCE) publishes theoretical and empirical papers devoted to analyses of mitigation, adaptation, impacts, and other issues related to the policy and management of greenhouse gases. CCE is specifically devoted to papers in economics although it is understood that authors may need to rely on other fields for important insights. The journal is interested in papers examining the issue at every scale from local to global and papers from around the world are encouraged. CCE is also interested in both original research and review papers and welcomes comments discussing previous articles.