基于可持续发展指标的城市群环境评价

E. Ivantsova, M. Postnova, V. Sagalaev, A. Matveeva, A. Kholodenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文从可持续发展的经典概念出发,探讨了可持续发展的指标。分析了所使用的方法,以确定可持续发展的标准。可持续发展的指标已经被认识和发展了很长时间。但是,这些指标的发展没有考虑到区域固定指标,这种固定指标可以为某一领土建立一套永久性的最具代表性的指标。伏尔加格勒和罗斯托夫城市群被选为对象。考虑到伏尔加格勒和罗斯托夫城市群的地理、气候、部门特征、经济潜力和生态福利,对可持续发展的区域指标进行了复杂的分析。这项工作评估了所研究的城市群的生态和经济可持续性,从而可以对领土发展预测模型进行比较分析。今天,谈论在城市群实现可持续发展标准的有效性还为时过早。公认的方法不能被认为是有效的,因为需要所有管理领域的努力。在预测中,我们可以说,由于资本流入,罗斯托夫集聚的稳定性略有提高。考虑到目前的趋势,伏尔加格勒集聚可能面临可持续性逐渐下降,需要立即干预。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Environmental Assessment of Urban Agglomerations on the Basis of Sustainable Development Indicators
The article discusses the indicators of sustainable development given from the standpoint of the classical concept of sustainable development. The methods used are analyzed to identify criteria for sustainable development. The indicators of sustainable development have been known and developed for a long time. However, their development did not take into account the regional fix, which would allow creating a permanent set of the most representative indicators for a certain territory. Volgograd and Rostov agglomerations are chosen as objects. A complex analysis of the regional indicators of sustainable development is carried out taking into account physiographic, climatic, sectoral features, the economic potential and ecological well-being of Volgograd and Rostov agglomerations. The work assesses the ecological and economic sustainability of the agglomerations under study, which allows to give the comparative analysis of the territory development predictive models. Today, it is still too early to talk about the effectiveness of achieving criteria for sustainable development in urban agglomerations. The accepted methods cannot be considered effective due to the fact that the efforts of all areas of management are needed. In the forecast, we can talk about a slight increase in the stability of Rostov agglomeration due to capital inflows. Taking into account current trends, Volgograd agglomeration can face a gradual decrease in sustainability requiring an immediate intervention.
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