基于敏感性分析的石油集散中心选址可行性研究——以某石油公司为例

A. Sanonok, P. Patthamanawin, C. Pornsing, N. Sangkhiew, A. Jatephook, C. Intawongse, P. Jomtong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

如今,电是最方便、最舒适地传输给消费者的能源,因为它可以直接从能源源连接到用户。它可以很容易地转化为其他能源类型,并保持储备。天然气是泰国生产的主要燃料,因为它的成本最低,也是一种可持续的替代品。然而,由于天然气管道每年关闭,钻井场所被迫使用燃料油(FO)和高速柴油(HSD)代替天然气发电。本文对各备选方案的油品运输系统进行研究,其中备选方案I为主油品配送中心,备选方案II为主油品配送中心和旧油品配送中心a、B,备选方案III为新油品配送中心C、D,研究停运期间油品配送中心选址的可行性。根据模拟和经济分析,每个备选方案的净现值(NPV)和内部收益率(IRR)是已知的,将在管理层会议上加以考虑。结果表明,方案III既能满足定量要求,又能满足定性要求,因此应选择方案III。此外,我们进行了敏感性分析,发现投资选择增加。另一方面,它会做出投资选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Feasibility Study of the Location Selection for Oil Distribution Center with Sensitivity Analysis Case Study: A Sample Oil Company
Nowadays, electricity is the energy source that is most conveniently and comfortably transferred to the consumer since it can be wired directly from the energy source to the user. It can be easily transformed into other energy types and kept in reserve. Natural gas is the primary fuel produced in Thailand due to its minimum cost and it’s also a sustainable alternative. However, due to the annual shutdown of gas pipelines and drilling sites are forced to use Fuel Oil (FO) and High-Speed Diesel (HSD) instead of natural gas to produce electricity. This paper is a study of the oil transportation systems of each alternative, which consists of alternative I being the main oil distribution center, alternative II being the main oil distribution center and the old oil distribution centers A and B, and alternative III being the new oil distribution centers C and D to study the feasibility of the location selection for oil distribution center during this shutdown period. According to the simulation and economic analysis, the Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of each alternative are known, which will be taken into account at the meeting with management. The result was found that alternative III should be chosen because it can satisfy both the quantitative and qualitative. Furthermore, we conducted the sensitivity analysis, it was found that increased investment selections. On the other hand, it will make investment selections.
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