分解总贸易流量:来自美国贸易商的新证据

Fariha Kamal, C. Krizan
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引用次数: 10

摘要

利用企业层面的出口交易数据,我们发现了一系列关于全球经济衰退期间出口和出口商反应的广泛利润的丰富结果。我们对公司规模、年龄、所有权状况和行业进行分析,以强调公司异质性的作用。我们发现,企业进入和退出在单单位、较小和较年轻的企业的年度出口流量变化中起着更大的作用。年轻的小公司在危机时期和非危机时期都表现最好。我们还分解了美国进口商、外国供应商和美国进口商-外国供应商对水平上的美国进口利润率。虽然出口流量与全球经济周期密切相关,但进口流量更接近美国经济周期。此外,配对和外国供应商流动都比美国进口流动更不稳定,也就是说,美国进口商-外国供应商匹配平均比美国进口商或外国供应商经历更多的搅动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Decomposing Aggregate Trade Flows: New Evidence from U.S. Traders
Using firm-level data on export transactions, we uncover a rich set of results about the extensive margins of exporting and exporter responses during periods of global downturns. We perform our analysis with respect to firm size, age, ownership status, and sector to emphasize the role of firm heterogeneity. We uncover a larger role for firm entry and exit in changes in annual export flows of single-unit, smaller, and younger firms. Young, small firms perform best during both periods of crises as well as non-crises periods. We also decompose the margins of U.S. imports at the U.S. importer, foreign supplier, and U.S. importer-foreign supplier pair levels. While export flows are closely correlated with global business cycles, import flows more closely approximate U.S. economic cycles. Additionally, both pair and foreign supplier flows are far more volatile than U.S. import flows, that is, U.S. importer-foreign supplier matches experience more churning on average than do either U.S. importers or foreign suppliers.
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