重新审视亚洲戏剧:默达尔对东南亚发展的洞见

IF 0.1 Q4 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
C. Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

默达尔的《亚洲戏剧》是对亚洲新独立国家后殖民发展前景的第一次严肃而略带悲观的研究。由于世界正处于covid-19大流行的控制之下,并面临全球供应链中断,因此值得反思亚洲戏剧并重新发现其中的一些见解。21世纪初东南亚国家的快速增长或许证明了米达尔的悲观观点是错误的,但他对国家与市场之间平衡的担忧仍然是正确的,因为它告诉该地区的国家,它们在奉行当前的产业政策时应该更加谨慎。当凯恩斯主义的远见与默达尔对发展和经济增长的预测结合在一起时,这种情况就更加明显了,大流行后东南亚发展前景的不稳定性更加明显。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Asian Drama Revisited: Myrdal’s Insight in the Development of Southeast Asia
Gunner Myrdal’s Asian Drama was the first serious and somewhat pessimistic study on the postcolonial development prospects of newly independent Asian countries. Since the world is in the grips of covid-19 pandemic and facing disrupted global supply chains, it is worth reflecting on the Asian Drama and rediscovering some of its insights. The rapid growth of Southeast Asian countries at the beginning of the twenty-first century may have proved Myrdal’s pessimistic outlook wrong, but his concern over the balance between state and market is still valid as it informs countries in the region that they should be more cautious in pursuing their current industrial policies. This is more so when Keynesian foresight is married to Myrdal’s forecast of development and economic growth, the precariousness of Southeast Asia’s development prospects post-pandemic is more pronounced.
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