先反应后原谅:来自COVID - 19股票市场影响的证据

S. Hassan, John Michael Riveros Gavilanes
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引用次数: 22

摘要

2019冠状病毒病大流行对全球经济产生了广泛而严重的影响。像往常一样,股市首先做出了反应,跌幅与2008年全球金融危机时一样大。本研究利用日常数据模拟COVID - 19大流行对首批受影响国家股票市场指数和全球大宗商品市场的动态影响。面板最小二乘向量自回归(VAR)估计结果证实了病毒传播率对股票市场指数收益率的短期负面影响。差价率对于解释铂金、白银、西德克萨斯中质油(WTI)、布兰特原油的价格变化也具有重要意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
First to React Is Last to Forgive: Evidence from the Stock Market Impact of COVID 19
The COVID 19 pandemic has had wide-ranging and severe effects on global economies. Stock markets as usual were the first to react, with drop rates as much as the global financial crises of 2008. This study uses daily data to model the dynamic impact of the COVID 19 pandemic on the first affected countries’ stock market indices and the global commodity markets. The panel least squares Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) estimation results confirm the negative short-termed impact of the virus spread rate on the returns of the stock market indices. The spread rate is also significant to explain changes related to the prices of platinum, silver, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Brent crude oil.
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