食品进口:克罗地亚的国际旅游关系:ARDL和NARDL方法的应用和因果关系

IF 0.8 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
Z. Šergo, J. Gržinić
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是研究1969-2018年期间克罗地亚食品进口依赖与国际游客人数之间的关系。本文通过检测以各种食品为代表的食品进口与国际旅游入境人数之间的因果关系,为上述假设提供了实证证据,国际旅游入境人数适合作为旅游消费的代理。研究方法能够捕捉一些食品进口产品与旅游业之间关系的对称性,称为自回归分布滞后,但并非适用于为本研究设计的所有进口食品。由于非对称分析,在这种情况下,需要使用非线性模型,我们使用非线性模型并找到非对称协整的证据。我们得出结论,在2019冠状病毒病全球危机爆发前的近20年里,克罗地亚的粮食进口增长迅速,而这些进口似乎主要受到与旅游业普遍扩张相关的服务出口的推动。(C) 2021 EA。版权所有。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The food import: International tourism nexus in Croatia: An application of the ARDL and NARDL approach and causality
The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between food import dependency and the international tourist arrivals in Croatia during the period spanning 1969-2018. In this paper, we provide empirical evidence on the above hypothesis by detecting the causality between foods imports represented as various food products and international tourism arrivals, that suit as a proxy for tourism consumption. The study method was able to capture symmetries in the relationship between some food import products and tourism, known as autoregressive-distributed lags, but not for all imported food items designed for this study. Since an asymmetric analysis, in such cases, requires the use of nonlinear models, we use nonlinear models and find evidence of asymmetric cointegration. For almost two decades before the global COVID-19 crisis, we conclude, Croatia's food imports grew rapidly, and these imports appear to be mainly driven by exports of services linked to pervasive tourism expansion. (C) 2021 EA. All rights reserved.
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来源期刊
Ekonomika Poljoprivreda-Economics of Agriculture
Ekonomika Poljoprivreda-Economics of Agriculture AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-
自引率
50.00%
发文量
19
审稿时长
4 weeks
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